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KVYO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-21 → 2024-12-17

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 20, 2023 🔗 www.klaviyo.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.74B 👥 Employees: 2,437
Klaviyo Inc is a technology company that provides a software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform to enable its customers to send the right messages at the right time across email, short message service, and push notifications, more accurately measure and predict performance, and deploy specific actions and campaigns. The platform combines proprietary data and application layers into one solution with machine learning and artificial intelligence capabilities. It is focused on marketing automation within eCommerce as its first application use case. It generates revenue through the sale of subscriptions to its customers for the use of its platform. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from the Americas, followed by EMEA and APAC.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.10%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.44%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: -0.66%
Worst: -2.39%
Trades: 0/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +4.03%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +4.36%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +7.47%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +7.47%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.52%
Avg Loser: -3.60%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.38%
Best MFE: +8.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 50 min

On average, KVYO alerts reach +3.38% profit potential within 50 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.66%
Worst MAE: -2.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, KVYO typically reaches +3.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.47%
Best Gap +0.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How KVYO compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KVYO: -1.44% Sector: -0.09% -1.35%
EOD Gain
KVYO: -0.04% Sector: +73.64% -73.68%
Avg MFE
KVYO: +3.38% Sector: +4.32% -0.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KVYO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-17 09:27:35 $42.46 -1.08% +0.36% -0.99% -0.21% +1.70% +4.52% -1.95% +0.09% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:29:41 $35.97 -2.39% -2.28% -1.67% -2.42% -2.25% -0.13% -0.13% -0.13% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:25:00 $35.21 -1.62% -1.73% -0.85% -0.88% -4.94% +0.17% -2.46% -2.02% LOSS
2023-09-21 09:25:00 $32.01 -0.66% +4.03% +4.36% +7.47% +5.34% +8.93% -2.09% +0.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on KVYO

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KVYO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KVYO Strategy →

Why Analyze KVYO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KVYO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KVYO historically offers an average upside of +3.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KVYO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, KVYO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KVYO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.