FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LBTYA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-04-23

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Liberty Global Ltd. Class A Common Shares CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES (SIC 4841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 08, 2004 🔗 www.libertyglobal.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.67B 👥 Employees: 6,820
Liberty Global is a holding company with interests in European telecom companies in the UK, the Netherlands, Belgium, Ireland, and Slovakia. Liberty owns the main cable network in each of these geographies and has pursued a strategy since 2016 to merge or partner with mobile network operators to be able to offer converged services. Liberty also owns minority stakes in other media, entertainment, and cloud companies.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
38.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-1.22%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -3.59%
Trades: 4/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -4.47%
Trades: 4/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +1.21%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 4/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -1.11%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 4/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -1.22%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +1.44%
Worst: -3.69%
Trades: 5/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.42%
Best MFE: +3.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, LBTYA alerts reach +0.42% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.21%
Worst MAE: -3.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.34:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, LBTYA typically reaches +0.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 23.1%
Avg Gap -0.58%
Best Gap +0.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How LBTYA compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LBTYA: -0.77% Sector: +0.08% -0.84%
EOD Gain
LBTYA: -1.22% Sector: +0.22% -1.44%
Avg MFE
LBTYA: +0.42% Sector: +2.68% -2.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LBTYA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-23 09:28:00 $16.48 +0.06% +0.36% +1.21% +2.21% +1.33% +3.22% -0.30% -0.18% WIN
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $18.54 +0.94% +0.59% +0.08% +0.05% +0.22% +1.19% +0.97% +0.97% WIN
2023-07-20 09:26:00 $18.87 +0.37% +0.27% +0.48% +0.32% +0.42% +1.11% -0.40% +0.48% WIN
2023-01-12 09:29:00 $21.36 -1.22% -0.82% -1.10% -0.98% -0.70% +0.09% -3.04% -0.80% LOSS
2022-12-06 09:25:00 $19.46 -0.46% -0.57% -1.59% -2.26% -2.06% -0.15% -0.51% -0.36% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $19.59 -1.48% -0.94% -0.38% -0.71% -2.91% -0.08% -1.48% -1.48% LOSS
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $20.2 -0.89% -0.97% -1.63% -2.38% -1.68% -0.59% -0.99% -0.79% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $20.2 +0.15% +0.35% +0.02% +0.30% +1.44% +1.83% -0.54% +0.40% WIN
2022-07-11 09:25:00 $21.15 -0.38% -1.80% -1.87% -2.36% -3.69% -0.33% -0.99% -0.99% LOSS
2022-06-07 09:25:00 $25.08 -3.59% -4.47% -4.70% -5.50% -3.31% -1.99% -3.59% -1.99% LOSS
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $23.71 -1.48% -0.84% -0.38% -0.89% -3.29% -0.13% -1.48% -1.31% LOSS
2022-04-26 09:25:00 $24.06 -1.45% -0.58% -0.29% -1.21% -2.66% - -1.45% -1.29% LOSS
2022-01-14 09:25:00 $28.03 -0.54% -1.07% -0.75% -1.07% +0.96% +1.25% -1.91% -0.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LBTYA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 38.5% win rate and -1.22% average gain, LBTYA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LBTYA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LBTYA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LBTYA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LBTYA historically offers an average upside of +0.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LBTYA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 38.5%, LBTYA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LBTYA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LBTYA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.22%). This suggests LBTYA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.