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LFMD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-23 → 2024-03-12

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 01, 1995 🔗 www.lifemd.com
💰 Market Cap: $172.3M 👥 Employees: 336
LifeMD Inc is a direct-to-patient telehealth company that provides a smarter, cost-effective, and more convenient way of accessing comprehensive, virtual healthcare. Its telehealth platform seamlessly integrates a clinician-centric electronic medical record (EMR) system, proprietary algorithms for case-load balancing and scheduling, customer relationship management functionality, remote and in-home lab testing, and digital prescription capabilities, patient-provider audio/video interfacing, cloud pharmacy fulfillment, and more. In addition to telehealth offerings, the company sells nutritional supplements and other over-the-counter products. The company has two operating segments: Telehealth and WorkSimpli. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Telehealth segment.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.02%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.02%
Best: -0.66%
Worst: -8.15%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: -0.06%
Worst: -5.86%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.25%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.25%
Best: -1.30%
Worst: -8.16%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.29%
Best: -1.67%
Worst: -14.35%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.47%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.47%
Best: -0.24%
Worst: -16.34%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.79%
Best MFE: +4.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 39 min

On average, LFMD alerts reach +1.79% profit potential within 39 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.14%
Worst MAE: -11.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.29:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, LFMD typically reaches +1.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.50%
Best Gap -0.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE

How LFMD compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LFMD: -4.02% Sector: -0.15% -3.87%
EOD Gain
LFMD: -7.47% Sector: +0.11% -7.59%
Avg MFE
LFMD: +1.79% Sector: +4.44% -2.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LFMD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-12 09:26:05 $8.4 -0.66% -5.48% -6.30% -1.67% -0.24% +4.17% -11.90% -1.79% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $9.06 -8.15% -5.86% -8.16% -14.35% -16.34% +0.55% -1.32% -0.11% LOSS
2023-03-23 09:29:00 $1.54 -3.25% -0.06% -1.30% -5.84% -5.84% +0.65% -5.19% -2.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LFMD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.02% average gain, LFMD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LFMD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LFMD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LFMD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LFMD historically offers an average upside of +1.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LFMD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, LFMD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LFMD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LFMD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.02%). This suggests LFMD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.