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LINC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-02 → 2022-08-02

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Lincoln Educational Services SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES (SIC 8200)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 2005 🔗 www.lincolntech.edu
💰 Market Cap: $855.1M 👥 Employees: 2,475
Lincoln Educational Services Corp provides diversified career-oriented post-secondary education to high school graduates and working adults. The company offers programs in automotive technology, skilled trades, healthcare services, hospitality services, and business and information technology. Its reportable segments include; Campus Operations, and Transitional. The majority of the revenue is generated from the Campus Operations segment which includes all campuses that are continuing in operation and contribute to the Company's core operations and performance.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.39%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-0.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.39%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: -4.39%
Worst: -4.39%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.52%
Best: -4.52%
Worst: -4.52%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.77%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.77%
Best: -4.77%
Worst: -4.77%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.15%
Best: -6.15%
Worst: -6.15%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.26%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: -3.26%
Worst: -3.26%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -0.50%
Best MFE: -0.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 347 min

On average, LINC alerts reach -0.50% profit potential within 347 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.90%
Worst MAE: -6.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.90%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.07:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, LINC typically reaches -0.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -5.90%
Best Gap -5.90%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

How LINC compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LINC: -4.39% Sector: -0.49% -3.90%
EOD Gain
LINC: -3.26% Sector: +426.83% -430.09%
Avg MFE
LINC: -0.50% Sector: +5.81% -6.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LINC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $7.97 -4.39% -4.52% -4.77% -6.15% -3.26% -0.50% -6.90% -5.90% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LINC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.39% average gain, LINC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LINC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LINC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LINC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LINC historically offers an average upside of -0.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LINC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, LINC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LINC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LINC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.39%). This suggests LINC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.