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LION Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-05 → 2023-03-01

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 14, 2024 🔗 www.lionsgate.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.82B 👥 Employees: 1,032
Lionsgate Studios Corp is a motion picture and television studio operations aligned with the STARZ premium subscription platform to bring a varied portfolio of entertainment to consumers around the world. The group has two reportable business segments: the Motion Picture and Television Production reportable segments. Motion Picture consists of the development and production of feature films, the acquisition of North American and world-wide distribution rights. Television Production consists of the development, production, and world-wide distribution of television productions, including television series, television movies and mini-series, and non-fiction programming.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.12%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.12%
Avg Winner: +4.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.25%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -13.91%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -13.91%
Best: -13.91%
Worst: -13.91%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -19.43%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -19.43%
Best: -19.43%
Worst: -19.43%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -24.31%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -24.31%
Best: -24.31%
Worst: -24.31%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -35.21%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -35.21%
Best: -35.21%
Worst: -35.21%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +4.25%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, LION alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.62%
Worst MAE: -5.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.81:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, LION typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -5.24%
Best Gap -5.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION

How LION compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LION: +4.25% Sector: -0.27% +4.52%
EOD Gain
LION: -35.21% Sector: -0.59% -34.62%
Avg MFE
LION: +4.25% Sector: +4.68% -0.43%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LION alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-01 09:25:00 $18.12 +4.25% -13.91% -19.43% -24.31% -35.21% +4.25% -5.24% -5.24% WIN
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $9.94 - - - - - - - - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on LION

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LION's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LION Strategy →

Why Analyze LION with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LION. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LION historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LION Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, LION shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LION performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.