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LMT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-28 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 16, 1995 🔗 www.lockheedmartin.com
💰 Market Cap: $136.71B 👥 Employees: 121,000
Lockheed Martin is the world's largest defense contractor and has dominated the Western market for high-end fighter aircraft since it won the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program in 2001. Aeronautics is Lockheed's largest segment, which derives upward of two-thirds of its revenue from the F-35. Lockheed's remaining segments are rotary and mission systems, mainly encompassing the Sikorsky helicopter business; missiles and fire control, which creates missiles and missile defense systems; and space systems, which produces satellites and receives equity income from the United Launch Alliance joint venture.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 64.3%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -0.75%
Trades: 9/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +2.27%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 10/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +2.73%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 10/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.84%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 8/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.88%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +7.96%
Worst: -4.06%
Trades: 10/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.17%
Best MFE: +8.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 184 min

On average, LMT alerts reach +2.17% profit potential within 184 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -2.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, LMT typically reaches +2.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS

How LMT compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LMT: +0.18% Sector: -0.22% +0.40%
EOD Gain
LMT: +0.88% Sector: +1766.07% -1765.19%
Avg MFE
LMT: +2.17% Sector: +5.23% -3.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LMT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:26:55 $515.88 -0.18% +0.17% +0.04% -0.31% +0.31% +0.76% -0.53% +0.05% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:28:28 $517.79 +0.11% -0.11% +0.14% +0.27% -0.15% +0.72% -0.30% +0.45% WIN
2023-10-17 09:27:00 $437.4 +0.39% +2.19% +2.73% +2.44% +0.85% +3.52% -0.87% -0.19% WIN
2023-10-10 09:26:00 $444.25 -0.55% -1.91% -1.94% -2.31% -2.06% +0.18% -0.06% -0.61% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:28:00 $426.4 +1.15% +1.97% +1.73% -0.10% +2.38% +2.39% -0.71% +0.54% WIN
2023-07-18 09:29:00 $474.96 +0.63% +0.14% -0.05% -1.40% -4.06% +0.96% -0.30% -0.12% WIN
2023-04-18 09:26:00 $498.98 -0.08% +1.40% +1.24% +1.33% +0.49% +1.83% -0.20% +0.00% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $477.33 +0.20% +0.28% -0.17% -0.10% +0.32% +0.83% +0.62% +0.62% WIN
2023-01-24 09:25:00 $448.3 -0.40% -2.16% -0.07% -1.34% +0.21% +0.59% -2.37% -1.37% LOSS
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $481.53 +0.15% +0.62% +0.23% +0.62% +0.35% +0.77% -0.32% -0.29% WIN
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $399.99 +0.80% +2.13% +1.55% +2.81% +7.96% +8.88% -0.37% +0.79% WIN
2022-09-21 09:25:00 $427.68 +0.31% +1.16% +0.65% +0.86% -1.75% +1.43% -0.67% +0.07% WIN
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $380.89 -0.75% -0.28% +0.60% +1.51% +2.49% +2.54% -1.90% -0.54% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $413.45 +0.74% +2.27% +2.09% +3.84% +4.92% +4.95% -0.37% +0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on LMT

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LMT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LMT Strategy →

Why Analyze LMT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LMT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LMT historically offers an average upside of +2.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LMT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, LMT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LMT performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.