FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LNG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-22 → 2024-10-25

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 04, 1994 🔗 www.cheniere.com
💰 Market Cap: $44.63B 👥 Employees: 1,714
Cheniere Energy is a liquified natural gas, or LNG, producer with two facilities in Corpus Christi, Texas and Sabine Pass, Louisiana. It generates most of its revenue through long-term contracts with customers on a fixed and variable fee payout structure. It also generates revenue by selling uncontracted LNG to customers on a short or one-time basis. A subsidiary, Cheniere Energy Partners, owns the Sabine Pass facility and trades as a master limited partnership.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
45.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.79%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +6.72%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -1.08%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +1.23%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 3/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +1.37%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.40%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +3.27%
Worst: -4.64%
Trades: 5/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.07%
Best MFE: +8.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, LNG alerts reach +2.07% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.84%
Worst MAE: -4.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.46:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, LNG typically reaches +2.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap +0.50%
Best Gap +5.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION

How LNG compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LNG: +0.31% Sector: +0.01% +0.30%
EOD Gain
LNG: -0.23% Sector: -1.19% +0.97%
Avg MFE
LNG: +2.07% Sector: +2.29% -0.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LNG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-25 09:27:30 $186.87 -0.06% -0.44% -0.44% -0.48% -1.04% +0.09% -0.46% -0.46% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:28:33 $182.9 +0.30% +0.76% +0.72% +0.71% +1.29% +1.41% -0.24% +0.01% WIN
2023-01-05 09:28:00 $143.0 +0.84% +0.62% +0.23% +0.51% +1.25% +1.50% -0.17% +0.11% WIN
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $149.96 -1.69% -3.54% -3.70% -4.98% -2.44% +0.03% -0.64% -0.37% LOSS
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $136.01 +0.87% +1.23% +1.37% +2.38% +3.27% +3.99% +0.07% +0.21% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $134.25 -0.11% -0.56% -0.13% +1.46% +3.23% +3.26% -1.56% +0.27% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $145.8 -0.37% -2.79% -2.87% -2.76% -3.88% -0.07% -0.72% -0.14% LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $145.0 +0.23% -0.19% +0.86% -0.68% +2.97% +3.05% -1.19% - WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $141.8 -1.76% -2.87% -1.98% +0.19% -1.97% +1.13% -4.33% +0.14% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $128.68 +6.72% -0.94% +0.59% -0.40% -0.53% +8.41% +0.25% +5.74% WIN
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $121.35 -1.52% -3.14% -3.23% -4.01% -4.64% +0.02% -0.29% -0.03% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.5% Baseline on LNG

The 45.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LNG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LNG Strategy →

Why Analyze LNG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LNG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LNG historically offers an average upside of +2.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LNG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, LNG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LNG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.