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LOAR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-02 → 2024-12-11

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 25, 2024 🔗 www.loargroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.82B 👥 Employees: 1,500
Loar Holdings Inc in the design, manufacture, and sale of niche aerospace and defense components that are essential for today's aircraft and aerospace and defense systems. Its manufactured products includes auto throttles, lap-belt airbags, two- and three-point seat belts, water purification systems, fire barriers, polyimide washers and bushings, latches, hold-open and tie rods, temperature and fluid sensors and switches, carbon and metallic brake discs, fluid and pneumatic-based ice protection, RAM air components, sealing solutions and motion and actuation devices, among others.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +0.88%
Worst: -0.49%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +0.91%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -1.42%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.86%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -0.57%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -3.35%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.58%
Best MFE: +5.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 57 min

On average, LOAR alerts reach +2.58% profit potential within 57 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.92%
Worst MAE: -1.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, LOAR typically reaches +2.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.27%
Best Gap +0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC

How LOAR compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LOAR: +0.20% Sector: -0.65% +0.85%
EOD Gain
LOAR: -0.63% Sector: +196.14% -196.77%
Avg MFE
LOAR: +2.58% Sector: +8.43% -5.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LOAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-11 09:29:51 $87.2 -0.49% -1.51% -1.42% -0.57% -3.35% +0.16% -1.26% +0.05% LOSS
2024-07-02 09:27:12 $53.33 +0.88% +0.91% +2.38% +2.29% +2.08% +5.01% -0.58% -0.58% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on LOAR

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LOAR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LOAR Strategy →

Why Analyze LOAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LOAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LOAR historically offers an average upside of +2.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LOAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, LOAR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LOAR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.