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LOVE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-29 → 2024-12-12

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

The Lovesac Company Common Stock RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES (SIC 5712)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 27, 2018 🔗 www.lovesac.com
💰 Market Cap: $216.9M 👥 Employees: 2,024
The Lovesac Co designs, manufactures and sells alternative furniture which is comprised of modular couches called sactionals and premium foam beanbag chairs called sacs. It also offers other accessories such as sactional-specific drink holders, Footsac blankets, decorative pillows, fitted seat tables, and ottomans. Its products are sold across the United States through its website or company-owned retail stores which are used in homes and offices. The majority of the firm's revenue is derived from the sale of Sactionals.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.43%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +3.62%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 3/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -5.56%
Best: +4.70%
Worst: -7.04%
Trades: 4/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +4.82%
Avg Loser: -5.51%
Best: +10.50%
Worst: -6.60%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +6.06%
Avg Loser: -6.52%
Best: +10.15%
Worst: -9.62%
Trades: 3/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -2.53%
Avg Winner: +7.11%
Avg Loser: -9.76%
Best: +11.45%
Worst: -13.20%
Trades: 3/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.82%
Best MFE: +14.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, LOVE alerts reach +7.82% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.14%
Worst MAE: -12.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.14%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.89:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, LOVE typically reaches +7.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap +0.20%
Best Gap +1.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES

How LOVE compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LOVE: -0.72% Sector: -0.82% +0.09%
EOD Gain
LOVE: -2.53% Sector: -0.43% -2.10%
Avg MFE
LOVE: +7.82% Sector: +5.57% +2.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LOVE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-12 09:25:25 $28.18 -0.68% +3.09% +3.96% +0.25% -8.66% +8.11% -5.00% +0.04% LOSS
2024-04-11 09:29:59 $19.13 +2.51% +4.70% +4.26% +7.79% +8.36% +10.40% -1.10% +0.57% WIN
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $25.01 -4.49% -5.36% -6.60% -9.62% -7.56% +1.46% -0.08% -0.04% LOSS
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $19.6 -4.02% +3.32% +0.56% -4.95% -9.64% +4.59% -9.65% -0.51% LOSS
2022-09-08 09:25:00 $30.16 +1.62% -4.29% -4.74% -9.58% -13.20% +2.45% -0.46% +0.60% WIN
2022-06-08 09:25:00 $31.96 -3.63% -7.04% -5.19% -1.94% +11.45% +14.80% -12.39% -0.41% LOSS
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $56.14 +3.62% +2.59% +10.50% +10.15% +1.51% +12.95% -0.30% +1.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LOVE Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.1% win rate, LOVE has -0.43% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making LOVE profitable.

🔧 Fix LOVE Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze LOVE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LOVE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LOVE historically offers an average upside of +7.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LOVE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, LOVE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.56%) outweigh average wins (+3.42%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LOVE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.43%). This suggests LOVE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.