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LOW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 โ†’ 2025-01-13

โš ๏ธ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

๐Ÿข Company Profile

๐Ÿ“ NYSE ๐Ÿ“… IPO: Jun 01, 1972 ๐Ÿ”— www.lowes.com
๐Ÿ’ฐ Market Cap: $155.23B ๐Ÿ‘ฅ Employees: 270,000
Lowe's is the second-largest home improvement retailer globally, with more than 1,750 stores in the US, after the 2023 divestiture of its Canadian locations (RONA, Lowe's Canada, Rรฉno-Dรฉpรดt, and Dick's Lumber). The firm's stores offer products and services for home decorating, maintenance, repair, and remodeling, with maintenance and repair accounting for two-thirds of products sold. Lowe's primarily targets retail do-it-yourself (around 70% of sales) and do-it-for-me customers, but has expanded its professional business clients to 30% from less than 20% in the past six years (set ot expand further with the acquisition of FBM). We estimate Lowe's captures a high-single-digit share of the domestic home improvement market, based on US Census data and management's market size estimates.
๐Ÿ“Š
37
Total Alerts
๐ŸŽฏ
67.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
๐Ÿ’ฐ
-0.00%
Avg Gain (EOD)
๐Ÿš€
+1.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +2.09%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 17/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 17/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +2.63%
Worst: -3.87%
Trades: 23/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -5.02%
Trades: 21/16

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 67.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -2.21%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -5.72%
Trades: 25/12

๐Ÿš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

๐Ÿ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.63%
Best MFE: +4.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, LOW alerts reach +1.63% profit potential within 121 minutes.

๐Ÿ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -2.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

โš–๏ธ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.

๐Ÿ’ก Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, LOW typically reaches +1.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

๐ŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 โ†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 45.9%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.94%

๐Ÿญ Sector Comparison: RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS

How LOW compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LOW: +0.07% Sector: +0.02% +0.05%
EOD Gain
LOW: -0.00% Sector: -0.16% +0.16%
Avg MFE
LOW: +1.63% Sector: +1.30% +0.32%

๐Ÿ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical LOW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:28:24 $247.86 -0.13% +0.18% +1.23% +0.53% +0.32% +1.33% -0.45% +0.09% LOSS
2024-02-27 09:25:14 $231.6 +0.81% +0.98% +2.63% +2.62% +1.64% +3.41% -0.95% +0.36% WIN
2023-12-13 09:25:00 $208.99 -0.33% -0.26% -0.33% -1.14% +3.09% +3.14% -1.39% -0.11% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:29:00 $197.0 +1.70% +0.87% +0.85% +1.55% +0.54% +2.41% -0.19% +0.26% WIN
2023-11-20 09:28:00 $203.99 -0.07% +0.20% +0.19% -0.24% +0.22% +0.50% -0.44% -0.24% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:28:00 $194.5 -0.46% -0.16% -0.98% -0.64% -0.34% -0.04% -0.89% -0.77% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:25:00 $223.3 -0.49% +0.91% +0.48% +0.45% +1.09% +1.78% -0.93% -0.56% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:29:00 $202.45 +2.09% +1.86% +2.03% +2.98% +2.07% +3.61% -0.00% +0.19% WIN
2023-05-16 09:25:00 $195.76 +0.36% -0.29% +1.31% +0.44% +1.77% +2.15% -1.11% +0.36% WIN
2023-04-13 09:26:00 $200.89 -0.74% -1.05% -1.73% -1.42% +0.29% +0.47% -2.32% -0.56% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:27:00 $197.55 +0.51% +0.59% +0.32% +0.63% -0.36% +1.29% +0.66% +0.94% WIN
2023-03-01 09:27:00 $206.1 -1.19% -2.54% -3.87% -5.02% -5.72% - -0.05% -0.32% LOSS
2023-02-03 09:28:00 $218.0 +0.02% -0.67% -0.49% -0.56% -0.93% +0.18% -0.78% -0.39% WIN
2023-01-18 09:29:00 $210.73 +0.84% +1.46% +1.31% +1.45% -1.06% +1.64% -0.00% -0.00% WIN
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $208.0 +0.68% -0.28% -0.05% -0.12% +0.01% +0.83% -0.43% +0.29% WIN
2022-12-14 09:25:00 $210.9 +0.30% +1.20% +1.43% +1.47% +0.57% +2.72% -0.01% +0.02% WIN
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $209.27 +0.22% -0.28% +0.53% +0.12% +0.48% +0.74% -0.50% +0.41% WIN
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $212.75 -0.00% +0.49% +1.92% +2.75% +1.12% +4.08% -0.54% -0.31% LOSS
2022-10-04 09:25:00 $197.0 +0.54% +0.35% +0.76% +0.67% +0.21% +1.35% -0.30% -0.02% WIN
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $188.7 +0.30% +1.01% +1.12% +1.80% +1.65% +2.31% -0.37% +0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

โš ๏ธ LOW Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 67.6% win rate, LOW has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making LOW profitable.

๐Ÿ”ง Fix LOW Risk/Reward โ†’

Why Analyze LOW with FILTRIX?

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LOW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LOW historically offers an average upside of +1.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

๐Ÿ“Š LOW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 67.6%, LOW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

โฑ๏ธ Optimized Exit Timing

โš ๏ธ Caution Advised: LOW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.00%). This suggests LOW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.