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LRN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-21 → 2024-10-23

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2007 🔗 www.stridelearning.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.21B 👥 Employees: 8,600
Stride Inc is an American online educational company. It offers alternative programs to traditional on-campus schooling. It also operates state-funded virtual charter schools around the United States. The educational programs for K-12 students are usually monitored by parents and provide virtual classroom environments where teachers meet with students online, by phone, or in-person. The company's contractual agreements with various school districts to offer its curriculum programs provide a majority of the company's revenue. The company lines of business are Managed Public School Programs, Institutional and Private Pay Schools and Other.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +2.39%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: -2.57%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: -2.23%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.05%
Avg Winner: +3.86%
Avg Loser: -3.51%
Best: +6.57%
Worst: -7.64%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.03%
Best MFE: +6.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, LRN alerts reach +2.03% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -1.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, LRN typically reaches +2.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.32%
Best Gap +2.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

How LRN compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LRN: +0.46% Sector: -0.49% +0.95%
EOD Gain
LRN: -0.81% Sector: +426.83% -427.64%
Avg MFE
LRN: +2.31% Sector: +5.81% -3.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LRN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-23 09:28:42 $84.18 +1.68% -0.46% +0.05% +0.84% +6.57% +6.72% -1.57% +0.42% WIN
2024-10-16 09:25:08 $69.0 -0.01% +2.96% +0.24% -0.22% -7.19% +4.16% -0.43% -0.04% LOSS
2024-03-22 09:25:56 $62.73 +0.94% +0.75% +0.54% +1.10% +1.51% +1.61% +0.30% +0.94% WIN
2024-03-14 09:29:21 $61.92 -0.16% -0.25% -1.84% -1.59% -1.08% +0.50% -0.14% +0.05% LOSS
2024-02-07 09:27:53 $58.99 +0.38% -0.58% -0.80% -0.71% -0.71% +0.53% -0.81% -0.46% WIN
2023-06-15 09:28:00 $40.09 -0.57% -0.31% -0.60% - -3.02% -0.22% -0.57% -0.50% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:26:00 $41.31 -0.65% -2.57% -2.08% -2.23% -1.43% -0.65% -0.65% -0.65% LOSS
2023-03-02 09:25:00 $41.01 +2.39% +3.63% +3.32% +3.54% +3.51% +4.49% +2.06% +2.39% WIN
2022-04-21 09:25:00 $40.29 -0.87% +0.14% -0.10% -0.72% -7.64% +1.16% -1.27% +0.77% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 44.4% Baseline on LRN

The 44.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LRN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LRN Strategy →

Why Analyze LRN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LRN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LRN historically offers an average upside of +2.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LRN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, LRN shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LRN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.