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LTH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-08 → 2024-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 07, 2021 🔗 www.lifetime.life
💰 Market Cap: $6.55B 👥 Employees: 42,000
Life Time Group Holdings Inc is a lifestyle and leisure brand offering health, fitness, and wellness experiences to a community. It is engaged in designing, building, and operating distinctive and large, multi-use sports and athletic, professional fitness, family recreation, and spa centers in a resort-like environment, principally in residential locations of metropolitan areas in the United States and Canada.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -1.60%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +2.22%
Worst: -1.96%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 4/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +1.70%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -3.13%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.25%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -3.48%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.53%
Best MFE: +3.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 80 min

On average, LTH alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 80 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -1.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 56 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, LTH typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +1.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS

How LTH compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LTH: -0.05% Sector: +0.19% -0.24%
EOD Gain
LTH: -1.59% Sector: -0.28% -1.30%
Avg MFE
LTH: +1.43% Sector: +2.63% -1.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LTH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-05 09:27:30 $24.38 +1.67% +0.78% +1.07% +1.15% +0.08% +1.76% +0.21% +1.27% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:17 $24.57 -0.18% -1.26% -2.20% -2.52% -1.71% -0.02% -0.49% -0.49% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:29:03 $24.5 -1.60% -1.96% -2.16% -2.33% -2.12% -0.45% -0.73% -0.45% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:27:51 $23.42 -0.51% +0.04% +1.37% +1.67% +0.17% +3.37% -0.88% -0.68% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:29:42 $23.0 -0.30% -1.04% -1.65% -3.13% -3.48% +0.39% -1.09% -0.43% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:26:04 $13.09 +1.53% +2.22% +1.91% +2.29% +0.61% +2.37% +1.15% +1.15% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $13.48 - - - - +1.78% +2.45% -1.34% -0.59% -
2023-10-26 09:26:00 $12.1 +0.74% +1.65% +2.48% -0.25% -2.73% +3.31% -0.74% +0.17% WIN
2023-06-14 09:25:00 $21.31 -0.62% -0.56% -2.16% -1.22% -3.19% +1.27% -1.36% -1.36% LOSS
2023-06-08 09:28:00 $21.0 -1.14% -0.76% -1.95% -2.55% -1.90% +0.86% -0.71% -0.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LTH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.10% average gain, LTH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LTH for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LTH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LTH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LTH historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LTH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, LTH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LTH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LTH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.10%). This suggests LTH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.