FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LTRYW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-19 → 2023-06-29

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Lottery.com, Inc. Warrants SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 2021 🔗 www.lottery.com
👥 Employees: 12
Lottery.com Inc is a provider of domestic and international lottery products and services. As an independent third-party lottery game service, the Company offers a platform that it developed and operates to enable the remote purchase of legally sanctioned lottery games in the U.S. and abroad. The Company's revenue-generating activities are focused on (i) offering the Platform via the Lottery.com app and its websites to users located in the U.S. and international jurisdictions where the sale of lottery games is legal and its services are enabled for the remote purchase of legally sanctioned lottery games; (ii) offering an internally developed, created and operated business-to-business application programming interface of the Platform to enable commercial partners in permitted U.S.
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
36.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-3.79%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+9.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -4.14%
Avg Winner: +12.28%
Avg Loser: -9.08%
Best: +16.74%
Worst: -27.01%
Trades: 2/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -3.79%
Avg Winner: +8.13%
Avg Loser: -12.37%
Best: +20.93%
Worst: -25.93%
Trades: 4/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -3.31%
Avg Winner: +9.43%
Avg Loser: -10.60%
Best: +20.93%
Worst: -31.14%
Trades: 4/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -8.50%
Avg Winner: +6.51%
Avg Loser: -16.15%
Best: +12.54%
Worst: -46.31%
Trades: 3/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -8.25%
Avg Winner: +8.82%
Avg Loser: -16.12%
Best: +25.12%
Worst: -37.30%
Trades: 6/13

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.60%
Best MFE: +34.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 64 min

On average, LTRYW alerts reach +9.60% profit potential within 64 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.95%
Worst MAE: -36.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.38:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, LTRYW typically reaches +9.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -1.04%
Best Gap +16.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How LTRYW compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LTRYW: -5.79% Sector: -0.09% -5.70%
EOD Gain
LTRYW: -14.05% Sector: +73.64% -87.69%
Avg MFE
LTRYW: +7.74% Sector: +4.32% +3.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LTRYW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-29 09:25:00 $0.01 - +5.88% - - -8.40% +31.93% - - -
2023-03-10 09:27:00 $0.03 - - - - -7.93% - - - -
2023-03-08 09:27:00 $0.03 +7.81% - +9.08% - +4.69% +9.38% -20.31% +7.81% WIN
2023-03-07 09:29:00 $0.03 - - - - -16.33% -6.67% -6.67% - -
2023-03-06 09:28:00 $0.03 -0.58% -1.09% -9.59% -1.16% -18.60% +11.92% +11.92% +9.88% LOSS
2023-03-02 09:28:00 $0.03 -23.79% - -3.35% - -23.05% -2.97% -5.95% -2.97% LOSS
2023-02-13 09:29:00 $0.05 -9.84% -9.84% -0.20% -4.60% +12.30% +15.78% -9.84% +12.70% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:28:00 $0.07 -27.01% -25.93% -31.14% -32.41% -25.11% +0.73% -0.88% -15.33% LOSS
2023-02-02 09:26:00 $0.03 -2.53% - +4.69% -12.99% +6.43% +8.30% +8.30% +0.72% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:28:00 $0.01 - - - - +2.26% +18.80% - - -
2022-09-15 09:25:00 $0.02 +16.74% +20.93% +20.93% - +25.12% +34.88% -6.51% +16.28% WIN
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $0.03 -5.64% - - +12.54% -6.27% +15.05% -5.64% -1.25% LOSS
2022-08-22 09:25:00 $0.04 -8.44% -8.44% - - -14.44% - -8.44% - LOSS
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $0.04 -9.87% - - - -17.94% - -10.31% -9.87% LOSS
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $0.04 -2.22% -7.11% -6.67% -6.67% -6.89% +10.67% -10.44% -2.22% LOSS
2022-08-05 09:25:00 $0.04 - - - +2.44% -2.44% +19.51% - +13.41% -
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $0.04 -0.89% -21.78% -11.33% -8.89% -24.89% -0.22% -22.67% -10.89% LOSS
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $0.06 - +4.14% -11.89% -46.31% -37.30% +4.14% -36.94% -36.94% -
2022-04-19 09:25:00 $0.35 - +1.57% +3.03% +4.54% +2.14% +11.14% -7.63% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LTRYW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 36.4% win rate and -3.79% average gain, LTRYW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LTRYW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LTRYW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LTRYW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LTRYW historically offers an average upside of +9.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LTRYW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 36.4%, LTRYW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LTRYW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LTRYW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -3.79%). This suggests LTRYW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.