FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

LVWR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-03 → 2022-10-03

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 27, 2022 🔗 www.livewire.com
💰 Market Cap: $544.6M 👥 Employees: 182
LiveWire Group Inc is an all-electric vehicle company. It sells electric vehicles and related parts and accessories and apparel in the United States and certain international markets. The company's segment includes Electric Motorcycles and STACYC. Electric Motorcycles segment sells electric motorcycles, related parts and accessories and apparel in the United States and certain international markets; STACYC segment sells electric balance bikes for kids, related parts and accessories and apparel in the United States and certain international markets. LiveWire generates revenue from the sale of electric motorcycles, Parts, accessories and apparel. Majority of revenue is from USA.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+4.77%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.77%
Avg Winner: +4.77%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.77%
Worst: +4.77%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.01%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: -7.01%
Worst: -7.01%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -13.24%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -13.24%
Best: -13.24%
Worst: -13.24%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -14.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -14.92%
Best: -14.92%
Worst: -14.92%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.58%
Best: -5.58%
Worst: -5.58%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.60%
Best MFE: +6.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, LVWR alerts reach +6.60% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.83%
Worst MAE: -1.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.61:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.61x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, LVWR typically reaches +6.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.22%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTORCYCLES, BICYCLES & PARTS

How LVWR compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LVWR: +4.77% Sector: +0.61% +4.16%
EOD Gain
LVWR: -5.58% Sector: +0.30% -5.88%
Avg MFE
LVWR: +6.60% Sector: +4.09% +2.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LVWR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $9.85 +4.77% -7.01% -13.24% -14.92% -5.58% +6.60% -1.83% +1.22% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on LVWR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LVWR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LVWR Strategy →

Why Analyze LVWR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LVWR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LVWR historically offers an average upside of +6.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LVWR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, LVWR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LVWR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.77%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.