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LXU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-11 → 2023-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.lsbindustries.com
💰 Market Cap: $710.8M 👥 Employees: 586
LSB Industries Inc is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of chemical products in the United States. The company manufactures and sells chemical products for the agricultural and industrial sectors. Its products include ammonia, fertilizer grade ammonium nitrate (AN and HDAN), and urea ammonia nitrate (UAN) for agricultural applications; high purity and commercial grade ammonia, sulfuric acids, concentrated, blended, and regular nitric acid, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluid for industrial applications; and industrial grade AN (LDAN) and AN solutions for mining applications. Its products are sold through distributors and directly to end customers throughout the United States and other parts of North America.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.38%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -0.33%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +0.26%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.47%
Best MFE: +2.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 16 min

On average, LXU alerts reach +1.47% profit potential within 16 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.78%
Worst MAE: -1.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.88:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, LXU typically reaches +1.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.14%
Best Gap +0.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS

How LXU compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LXU: +0.38% Sector: +0.05% +0.33%
EOD Gain
LXU: -1.42% Sector: -0.27% -1.15%
Avg MFE
LXU: +1.47% Sector: +3.50% -2.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LXU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-01-17 09:27:00 $12.9 +0.19% +0.50% +0.15% -0.50% -3.41% +0.62% -1.16% - WIN
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $13.8 +1.09% -0.33% -0.62% -0.62% +0.29% +1.09% -0.36% +0.43% WIN
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $13.34 -0.15% +1.35% +1.65% +0.26% -1.12% +2.70% -0.82% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on LXU

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LXU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LXU Strategy →

Why Analyze LXU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LXU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LXU historically offers an average upside of +1.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LXU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LXU shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LXU performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.38%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.