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LYB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-03 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (SIC 2860)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 28, 2010 🔗 www.lyondellbasell.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.41B 👥 Employees: 20,000
LyondellBasell is a petrochemical producer with operations in the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company is the world's largest producer of polypropylene and also a major producer of polyethylene and propylene oxide. Its chemicals are used in various consumer and industrial end products. Well over half of LyondellBasell's production comes from its North American operations.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 61.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +2.45%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 11/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: -2.85%
Trades: 10/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 61.1%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +2.34%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 11/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +2.06%
Worst: -3.11%
Trades: 12/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -1.32%
Best: +1.26%
Worst: -3.99%
Trades: 9/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.97%
Best MFE: +3.71%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, LYB alerts reach +0.97% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.41%
Worst MAE: -2.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, LYB typically reaches +0.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

How LYB compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LYB: +0.03% Sector: -0.24% +0.27%
EOD Gain
LYB: -0.21% Sector: +170.47% -170.68%
Avg MFE
LYB: +0.97% Sector: +5.49% -4.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LYB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:28:48 $79.5 -1.16% -1.42% -1.63% -2.17% -1.95% +0.63% -1.41% +0.63% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:25:49 $82.45 +0.00% -0.18% -0.41% -0.31% -0.30% +0.46% +0.46% +0.05% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:29:26 $96.11 +0.79% +0.41% +0.59% +1.46% +0.33% +1.55% +0.14% +0.94% WIN
2024-08-30 09:25:52 $98.24 -0.42% -0.25% -0.52% -0.39% +0.47% +0.70% -0.83% -0.12% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:27:46 $97.9 -0.40% -0.45% -0.96% -0.72% -0.96% -0.21% -0.75% -0.56% LOSS
2024-06-28 09:28:29 $95.57 +0.89% +0.70% +0.67% +0.55% +0.09% +1.49% +0.23% +0.49% WIN
2024-05-28 09:27:58 $98.75 +0.46% +0.90% +0.80% +0.67% -0.04% +1.23% -0.11% -0.11% WIN
2024-04-30 09:29:42 $104.12 -2.78% -2.85% -2.98% -3.11% -3.99% -2.59% -2.92% -2.92% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:29:10 $101.99 +0.58% -0.40% -0.26% -1.02% -2.04% +0.82% -0.53% -0.53% WIN
2024-02-07 09:29:00 $94.47 +0.30% -0.41% -0.16% +0.04% - +0.59% -0.58% +0.56% WIN
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $94.05 +0.26% +0.38% +0.81% +0.57% -0.05% +1.17% -0.06% -0.06% WIN
2023-11-14 09:28:00 $95.18 +0.13% +0.42% +0.71% +1.38% +1.25% +1.78% -0.34% -0.19% WIN
2023-11-02 09:26:00 $90.89 -0.24% +0.12% +0.07% +0.19% +1.18% +1.18% -0.69% -0.42% LOSS
2023-09-20 09:27:00 $98.2 +0.30% +0.49% +1.21% +1.01% -1.19% +1.24% - +0.04% WIN
2023-09-14 09:26:00 $100.0 -0.29% +0.51% +0.52% +0.35% +0.69% +0.92% -0.45% +0.13% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:29:00 $98.43 +0.63% +1.19% +1.13% +1.19% +1.26% +1.73% - +0.15% WIN
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $86.78 +2.45% +2.49% +2.34% +2.06% +0.70% +3.71% +2.18% +2.95% WIN
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $110.0 -0.97% -0.65% +0.14% +0.34% +0.84% +1.15% -1.69% -1.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on LYB

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LYB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LYB Strategy →

Why Analyze LYB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LYB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LYB historically offers an average upside of +0.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LYB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LYB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LYB performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.