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Latest signal:

MA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 97 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-14

⚠️ Small sample size (97 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 25, 2006 🔗 www.mastercard.com
💰 Market Cap: $471.21B 👥 Employees: 35,300
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $10 trillion in volume during 2024. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
📊
97
Total Alerts
🎯
61.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.19%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 50/47

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +1.75%
Worst: -3.21%
Trades: 52/45

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 50/47

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.6%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.06%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 53/44

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +3.82%
Worst: -3.82%
Trades: 60/37

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.09%
Best MFE: +3.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, MA alerts reach +1.09% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -4.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 97 alerts, MA typically reaches +1.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 97
Gap Up % 51.5%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +1.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How MA compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MA: +0.07% Sector: -0.05% +0.11%
EOD Gain
MA: +0.19% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.77%
Avg MFE
MA: +1.09% Sector: +2.89% -1.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:26:00 $505.87 -0.06% -0.24% -0.15% +0.24% +0.62% +0.70% -0.33% +0.24% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:32 $501.69 +0.29% +0.53% +0.68% +0.28% +0.64% +0.89% -0.35% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:31 $521.99 -0.48% -0.81% -0.79% -0.82% -1.93% -0.06% -0.06% -0.20% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:25:54 $529.99 -0.63% -0.77% -0.10% -0.37% -1.43% +0.11% -0.82% -0.15% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:29:53 $517.39 +0.76% +0.34% +0.14% +0.22% +0.40% +1.02% +0.27% +0.27% WIN
2024-11-07 09:26:30 $521.08 +0.33% +0.31% -0.13% -0.34% -0.61% +0.57% +0.02% +0.56% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:35 $502.87 +0.29% +0.11% +0.50% +0.74% +1.04% +1.53% -0.86% -0.48% WIN
2024-10-14 09:27:57 $502.01 +0.36% +0.58% +0.59% +0.82% +0.93% +1.35% +0.01% +0.47% WIN
2024-10-01 09:28:04 $496.0 -0.19% -0.16% -0.48% -0.44% +0.08% +0.41% -0.58% +0.25% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:28:46 $492.8 +0.01% +0.10% +0.14% +0.24% +0.20% +0.44% -0.23% -0.21% WIN
2024-07-18 09:27:42 $450.0 -0.24% +0.38% +0.60% +1.10% -0.28% +1.21% -0.56% -0.28% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:27:03 $446.0 -0.07% -0.56% -0.14% -0.29% -0.55% +0.45% +0.45% +0.21% LOSS
2024-07-12 09:29:21 $437.8 +0.50% +0.27% -0.06% +0.37% +0.53% +1.01% -0.11% -0.09% WIN
2024-07-11 09:28:14 $431.35 +0.05% +0.38% +0.16% +0.44% +1.18% +1.49% -0.29% +0.15% WIN
2024-07-03 09:29:37 $443.92 +0.60% +0.68% +0.90% +1.11% +0.96% +1.21% +0.08% +0.32% WIN
2024-06-06 09:29:01 $448.09 -0.58% -0.22% +0.20% +0.31% +0.13% +0.38% -0.77% +0.09% LOSS
2024-05-16 09:25:19 $457.64 +0.53% +1.09% +1.42% +0.97% +0.27% +1.59% +0.46% +0.52% WIN
2024-05-01 09:27:01 $442.81 -0.41% -0.14% -0.91% +0.89% -0.17% +1.39% -1.00% +0.68% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:25:34 $468.53 +0.30% +0.13% +0.07% -0.35% -1.87% +0.53% +0.25% +0.36% WIN
2024-04-12 09:27:28 $464.75 +0.88% +0.77% +0.63% +0.45% +0.14% +1.03% +0.27% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.9% Baseline on MA

The 61.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MA Strategy →

Why Analyze MA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MA historically offers an average upside of +1.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.9%, MA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.