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Latest signal:

MAR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2023-02-17

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Marriott International Class A Common Stock HOTELS & MOTELS (SIC 7011)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 30, 1998 🔗 www.marriott.com
💰 Market Cap: $85.79B 👥 Employees: 418,000
Marriott operates 1.8 million rooms across roughly 30 brands. At the end of 2024, luxury represented roughly 10% of total rooms, premium was 43%, select service was 45%, midscale was 1%, and other was 1%. Marriott, Courtyard, and Sheraton are the largest brands, while Autograph, Tribute, Moxy, Aloft, and Element are newer lifestyle brands. Managed and franchised represented 98% of total rooms as of Dec. 31, 2024. North America makes up 62% of total rooms. Managed, franchise, and incentive fees represent the vast majority of revenue and profitability for the company.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
73.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 73.3%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 11/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +2.50%
Worst: -1.08%
Trades: 8/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 9/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 9/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +1.39%
Avg Winner: +2.83%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 9/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.18%
Best MFE: +7.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 212 min

On average, MAR alerts reach +2.18% profit potential within 212 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -1.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, MAR typically reaches +2.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOTELS & MOTELS

How MAR compares to 15 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MAR: +0.11% Sector: +0.06% +0.04%
EOD Gain
MAR: +1.39% Sector: -0.05% +1.44%
Avg MFE
MAR: +2.18% Sector: +2.24% -0.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-17 09:25:00 $174.52 -0.41% -0.28% -1.05% -0.88% -1.15% +0.10% -0.41% +0.06% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:25:00 $148.8 +0.65% +0.64% +0.80% +0.66% +0.71% +1.64% +0.30% +0.30% WIN
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $161.77 -0.71% -0.41% -0.25% -0.23% -0.11% +0.48% -0.85% -0.01% LOSS
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $152.4 +0.01% +1.19% +1.82% +1.54% +3.41% +3.64% -0.07% +0.20% WIN
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $156.04 -1.28% -1.03% -0.73% -0.84% -1.47% +0.02% -0.68% -1.15% LOSS
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $157.64 +0.56% +0.95% +1.29% +1.48% +1.45% +1.83% - +0.10% WIN
2022-08-23 09:25:00 $158.67 +0.04% +0.43% +0.98% +0.79% -0.02% +1.19% -0.20% -0.20% WIN
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $157.22 +0.18% -0.08% +0.51% +0.36% +1.02% +1.66% -0.38% +0.19% WIN
2022-06-29 09:25:00 $139.02 -0.78% -0.66% -0.16% -1.36% -0.93% +0.43% -1.74% -0.24% LOSS
2022-06-02 09:25:00 $170.79 +0.70% +0.92% +0.61% +1.13% +2.13% +2.22% -0.24% -0.02% WIN
2022-05-26 09:25:00 $161.64 +0.84% +2.39% +2.98% +2.96% +5.28% +6.22% -0.80% -0.80% WIN
2022-05-23 09:25:00 $156.44 +0.32% -1.08% -1.16% -1.23% +0.97% +1.74% -1.99% +0.02% WIN
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $164.0 +0.74% +2.50% +2.76% +3.76% +7.04% +7.47% +0.01% +0.10% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $165.83 +0.66% +0.26% +0.56% +1.69% +3.45% +3.74% -0.32% +0.74% WIN
2022-01-12 09:25:00 $166.3 +0.12% -0.82% -0.12% -1.44% -0.87% +0.34% -0.38% +0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.3% Baseline on MAR

The 73.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MAR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MAR Strategy →

Why Analyze MAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MAR historically offers an average upside of +2.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.3%, MAR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MAR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.