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MARPS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2022-05-31

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Marine Petroleum Trust OIL ROYALTY TRADERS (SIC 6792)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 17, 1978 🔗 www.marps-marine.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.2M
Marine Petroleum Trust is a U.S based royalty trust. It provides administration and liquidation of rights to payments from oil and natural gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico. The Trust's subsidiary holds title to interests in properties which are situated offshore of Louisiana. The revenues of the trust are derived from the oil and natural gas production activities of third parties.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.55%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+23.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +2.78%
Avg Winner: +5.18%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +12.14%
Worst: -3.28%
Trades: 5/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.55%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +10.46%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 5/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +5.84%
Avg Loser: -6.25%
Best: +9.46%
Worst: -16.36%
Trades: 4/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.70%
Avg Winner: +17.04%
Avg Loser: -11.65%
Best: +46.08%
Worst: -32.41%
Trades: 4/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +17.74%
Avg Loser: -12.15%
Best: +36.07%
Worst: -42.16%
Trades: 3/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +23.01%
Best MFE: +65.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 58 min

On average, MARPS alerts reach +23.01% profit potential within 58 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.77%
Worst MAE: -8.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, MARPS typically reaches +23.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 18.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap +1.44%
Best Gap +7.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OIL ROYALTY TRADERS

How MARPS compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MARPS: +2.21% Sector: +1.39% +0.82%
EOD Gain
MARPS: -6.22% Sector: -4.46% -1.77%
Avg MFE
MARPS: +19.12% Sector: +12.70% +6.43%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MARPS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-31 09:25:00 $9.23 -0.16% +2.44% +4.76% -1.95% -4.44% +10.40% -0.33% +0.76% LOSS
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $15.83 -3.28% -3.03% -2.78% -8.40% -10.93% +5.94% -3.35% +0.25% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $12.0 +2.42% +4.17% +9.46% +46.08% +15.83% +65.17% -5.17% +2.42% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $26.78 +12.14% +10.46% -16.36% -32.41% -42.16% +19.49% -6.09% -1.34% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $8.9 +6.74% - -2.25% +8.27% +36.07% +50.22% -8.54% +7.30% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $5.5 +3.64% -6.36% -3.64% -3.82% -3.09% +5.45% +3.09% +3.45% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $4.51 -0.21% +2.88% +3.33% +6.43% +1.33% +7.98% -0.22% +0.22% LOSS
2022-01-28 09:25:00 $5.15 +0.97% +0.30% +5.83% +7.38% -0.11% +19.42% -1.55% -1.55% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on MARPS

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MARPS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MARPS Strategy →

Why Analyze MARPS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MARPS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MARPS historically offers an average upside of +23.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MARPS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, MARPS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MARPS performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.55%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.