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Latest signal:

MAX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-26 → 2024-05-24

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 28, 2020 🔗 www.mediaalpha.com
💰 Market Cap: $614.7M 👥 Employees: 144
MediaAlpha Inc provides a platform that facilitates insurance carriers and distributors target and acquire customers. The company's technology platform brings insurance carriers and consumers together through a real-time, transparent, and results-driven ecosystem. It acts as a customer acquisition channel in the areas of property & casualty insurance, health insurance, and life insurance. It operates in the United States and generates revenue by earning a fee for each consumer referral sold on its platform.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+3.42%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +1.80%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.42%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.58%
Worst: +1.74%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.85%
Avg Winner: +3.85%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.50%
Worst: +1.92%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.25%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: +2.30%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.94%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.70%
Worst: +0.87%
Trades: 3/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.31%
Best MFE: +11.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 85 min

On average, MAX alerts reach +6.31% profit potential within 85 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.09%
Worst MAE: -2.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.77x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MAX typically reaches +6.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How MAX compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MAX: +0.02% Sector: -0.05% +0.06%
EOD Gain
MAX: +1.94% Sector: +1758.96% -1757.02%
Avg MFE
MAX: +6.31% Sector: +2.89% +3.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MAX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-24 09:26:41 $17.78 +1.80% +1.94% +2.14% +2.45% +2.70% +2.98% -1.01% +0.62% WIN
2024-05-08 09:25:14 $19.55 +0.10% +1.74% +1.92% +2.30% +2.25% +4.76% -0.20% +0.15% WIN
2023-05-26 09:25:00 $9.2 -1.85% +6.58% +7.50% +5.00% +0.87% +11.20% -2.07% -1.52% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MAX

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MAX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MAX Strategy →

Why Analyze MAX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MAX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MAX historically offers an average upside of +6.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MAX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MAX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MAX performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.