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MBLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-27 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 26, 2022 🔗 www.mobileye.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.97B 👥 Employees: 3,900
Mobileye Global Inc engages in the development and deployment of ADAS and autonomous driving technologies and solutions. It is building a portfolio of end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions to provide the capabilities needed for the future of autonomous driving, leveraging a comprehensive suite of purpose-built software and hardware technologies. The company's reportable operating segment are Mobileye and Others. Its solutions comprise Driver Assist, Cloud-Enhanced Driver Assist, Mobileye SuperVision Lite, Mobileye SuperVision, Mobileye Chauffeur, Mobileye Drive, Self-Driving System & Vehicles. It derives maximum revenue from Mobileye Segment.
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
55.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.44%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +4.69%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 20/40

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.05%
Avg Loser: -2.94%
Best: +7.07%
Worst: -10.23%
Trades: 31/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +2.63%
Avg Loser: -2.72%
Best: +10.61%
Worst: -8.92%
Trades: 28/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.98%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +12.36%
Worst: -7.97%
Trades: 33/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +13.55%
Worst: -11.30%
Trades: 27/33

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.11%
Best MFE: +15.34%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, MBLY alerts reach +4.11% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.01%
Worst MAE: -10.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, MBLY typically reaches +4.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +2.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How MBLY compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MBLY: -0.69% Sector: -0.09% -0.60%
EOD Gain
MBLY: +0.29% Sector: +73.64% -73.34%
Avg MFE
MBLY: +4.11% Sector: +4.32% -0.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MBLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:27:17 $18.34 -0.68% -1.13% +2.45% +3.05% -2.02% +4.66% -1.91% +0.82% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:35 $15.53 +1.93% +2.77% +3.35% +5.28% +3.22% +5.60% -1.48% +1.42% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:23 $14.78 +0.81% +6.12% +8.93% +7.24% +10.35% +13.67% -1.89% -0.71% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:07 $16.82 -0.18% +0.42% -0.36% -0.06% -0.54% +1.37% -2.08% -1.31% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:35 $16.2 +2.67% +5.25% +0.62% +2.59% -0.43% +6.48% -0.30% +1.73% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:57 $15.78 +1.33% +2.06% -0.82% -0.38% -0.82% +3.90% -0.06% +1.01% WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:39 $19.11 -1.05% -7.07% -7.80% -7.97% -11.30% +0.47% -1.31% -0.58% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:13 $22.09 -0.86% +0.27% +0.23% +0.34% -1.11% +1.27% -1.68% -0.41% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:28:29 $19.5 +0.46% -1.74% -1.36% -0.36% +2.92% +5.03% -3.08% +0.36% WIN
2024-12-20 09:25:20 $17.43 -2.18% +1.30% +2.75% +3.93% +0.46% +5.33% -2.98% -0.80% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:46 $17.85 -0.50% -1.34% -1.88% -3.33% -0.73% +0.84% +0.11% -0.17% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:27:25 $17.55 +0.17% +1.94% +2.11% +2.62% +7.12% +7.61% -1.20% +0.23% WIN
2024-12-13 09:29:24 $17.83 -1.54% -1.85% -2.43% -3.93% -1.79% +1.23% -0.17% +0.73% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:28:35 $17.1 -0.50% -0.94% -0.67% -1.05% -0.35% +1.64% -1.81% -0.12% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:27:30 $17.92 -3.04% -6.25% -4.41% -4.85% -5.25% +0.11% -0.33% -0.36% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:22 $17.5 +1.49% +3.83% +6.63% +3.71% +0.06% +7.69% -1.77% -0.86% WIN
2024-12-05 09:25:47 $18.0 +1.39% +2.39% +0.17% -0.56% -5.00% +4.39% +0.06% +2.44% WIN
2024-11-25 09:25:38 $18.2 +1.02% +0.33% -0.15% +2.14% +1.65% +5.22% -0.39% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-18 09:27:10 $16.38 -1.45% -0.08% -1.95% -0.31% +2.69% +3.45% -3.48% -1.22% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:27:05 $15.76 -3.20% -4.95% -2.47% -2.98% -4.89% -0.38% -2.22% -0.44% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.0% Baseline on MBLY

The 55.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MBLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MBLY Strategy →

Why Analyze MBLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MBLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MBLY historically offers an average upside of +4.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MBLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.0%, MBLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MBLY performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.44%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.