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MCB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-14 → 2023-05-11

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 2017 🔗 www.mcbankny.com
💰 Market Cap: $906.2M 👥 Employees: 293
Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp is a bank holding company. It provides a broad range of business, commercial, and retail banking products and services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities, and individuals in the New York metropolitan area. The services provided by the company include deposits, trade finance, cash management solutions, savings, electronic banking, cards, and others. The company also provides various lending products such as acquisition loans, construction loans, and lines of credit, for retail, office, hospitality, multifamily, mixed-use, warehouse and distribution, and specialty-use properties. The bank derives its revenue in the form of interest income on loans.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+5.40%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.23%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +5.47%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +3.10%
Avg Loser: -2.53%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -3.53%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.10%
Avg Winner: +5.72%
Avg Loser: -4.77%
Best: +11.05%
Worst: -4.77%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -1.22%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -9.79%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: -9.79%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.40%
Avg Winner: +5.40%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +9.29%
Worst: +2.55%
Trades: 4/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.30%
Best MFE: +15.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 162 min

On average, MCB alerts reach +12.30% profit potential within 162 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.81%
Worst MAE: -6.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.37:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.37x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, MCB typically reaches +12.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.94%
Best Gap +3.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How MCB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MCB: +1.23% Sector: -0.03% +1.26%
EOD Gain
MCB: +5.40% Sector: -0.04% +5.44%
Avg MFE
MCB: +12.30% Sector: +1.25% +11.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MCB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-11 09:26:00 $20.49 +2.03% +3.05% +4.64% +1.98% +5.22% +7.86% -1.07% -0.20% WIN
2023-05-04 09:25:00 $19.0 +5.47% +3.16% +11.05% -9.79% +4.53% +14.20% -0.11% +3.42% WIN
2023-03-31 09:29:00 $31.01 -2.45% -3.53% -4.77% +1.84% +9.29% +11.72% -6.22% -0.03% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:25:00 $33.34 -0.12% -1.53% +1.47% +1.11% +2.55% +15.42% -3.85% +0.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MCB

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MCB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MCB Strategy →

Why Analyze MCB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MCB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MCB historically offers an average upside of +12.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MCB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MCB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MCB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.40%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.