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MCFT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-08-30 → 2023-08-30

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING (SIC 3730)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 17, 2015 🔗 www.mastercraft.com
💰 Market Cap: $351.5M 👥 Employees: 700
MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc designs, manufactures, and markets performance sport boats and outboard boats. The company is based in the United States and operates in three brand-specific segments. The MasterCraft segment generates the majority of the company's revenue and includes inboard boats for water skiing, wakeboarding, and wake surfing. The Pontoon segment produces pontoon boats at its Owosso, Michigan facility. Pontoon boats are used for general recreational boating. The Aviara segment produces luxury day boats at its Merritt Island, Florida facility. Aviara boats are used for general recreational boating.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.58%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+17.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.58%
Avg Winner: +3.58%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: +3.58%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.20%
Avg Winner: +6.20%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.20%
Worst: +6.20%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +10.32%
Avg Winner: +10.32%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +10.32%
Worst: +10.32%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +11.98%
Avg Winner: +11.98%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +11.98%
Worst: +11.98%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +12.86%
Avg Winner: +12.86%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +12.86%
Worst: +12.86%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.06%
Best MFE: +17.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 214 min

On average, MCFT alerts reach +17.06% profit potential within 214 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -0.47%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

36.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 36.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MCFT typically reaches +17.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap -0.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING

How MCFT compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MCFT: +3.58% Sector: +0.64% +2.94%
EOD Gain
MCFT: +12.86% Sector: +297.55% -284.69%
Avg MFE
MCFT: +17.06% Sector: +9.15% +7.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MCFT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-30 09:29:00 $19.28 +3.58% +6.20% +10.32% +11.98% +12.86% +17.06% -0.47% -0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MCFT

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MCFT's performance to 75%+.

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Why Analyze MCFT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MCFT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MCFT historically offers an average upside of +17.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MCFT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MCFT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MCFT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.