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MCHX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-12-11 → 2024-12-11
⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MCHX alerts reach +4.80% profit potential within 2 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.75%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MCHX typically reaches +4.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
How MCHX compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MCHX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-11 | 09:27:28 | $2.29 | -2.18% | -10.22% | -5.24% | -6.24% | -5.68% | +4.80% | -1.75% | +0.87% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MCHX Shows Negative Expectancy
With 0.0% win rate and -2.18% average gain, MCHX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MCHX for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MCHX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MCHX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MCHX historically offers an average upside of +4.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MCHX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, MCHX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MCHX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MCHX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -2.18%). This suggests MCHX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.