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MDIA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-02 → 2025-01-07

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mediaco Holding Inc. Class A Common Stock RADIO BROADCASTING STATIONS (SIC 4832)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 2020 🔗 www.mediacoholding.com
💰 Market Cap: $53.2M 👥 Employees: 407
MediaCo Holding Inc is a radio broadcasting media company operating in radio and digital advertising, premium programming, and events. It has two radio stations, WQHT-FM and WBLS-FM, which serve the New York City metropolitan area. The company generates revenue from radio and outdoor advertising sales, events including sponsorships and ticket sales, licensing, and syndication. The company has two business segments: the Audio segment and the Video segment. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Audio segment.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+3.15%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+17.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +4.80%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +8.08%
Worst: -5.56%
Trades: 5/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +1.53%
Avg Winner: +11.11%
Avg Loser: -7.74%
Best: +26.72%
Worst: -19.52%
Trades: 5/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +3.15%
Avg Winner: +11.15%
Avg Loser: -8.06%
Best: +25.26%
Worst: -24.96%
Trades: 6/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +12.01%
Avg Loser: -10.56%
Best: +26.14%
Worst: -25.11%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: +1.50%
Avg Winner: +18.44%
Avg Loser: -8.17%
Best: +31.92%
Worst: -15.04%
Trades: 4/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.42%
Best MFE: +55.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, MDIA alerts reach +17.42% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.00%
Worst MAE: -20.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.49:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.49x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, MDIA typically reaches +17.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 45.5%
Avg Gap +0.37%
Best Gap +5.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO BROADCASTING STATIONS

How MDIA compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MDIA: +0.60% Sector: +0.04% +0.57%
EOD Gain
MDIA: +1.50% Sector: +457.77% -456.27%
Avg MFE
MDIA: +17.42% Sector: +3.87% +13.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MDIA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-07 09:28:57 $0.92 +5.33% +1.64% +6.24% +10.83% +31.92% +35.16% -0.51% +5.70% WIN
2024-04-18 09:29:49 $2.78 -1.08% -1.08% -3.78% +0.90% -2.16% +7.19% -4.32% -2.88% LOSS
2024-04-12 09:29:36 $3.34 +2.99% - +3.29% +2.10% -13.17% +5.69% -0.90% -0.60% WIN
2024-04-11 09:27:07 $4.21 +8.08% +5.94% +7.01% -3.33% -13.06% +9.26% -0.24% +0.95% WIN
2024-04-10 09:29:52 $4.08 -1.96% +9.07% +19.12% +20.10% +2.21% +34.56% -5.79% +1.72% LOSS
2024-04-09 09:25:09 $3.29 +7.29% +26.72% +25.26% +26.14% +30.40% +55.02% -1.22% -0.30% WIN
2024-04-08 09:26:11 $3.05 -4.26% -6.89% -0.03% -12.78% -0.98% +6.89% -9.84% +3.61% LOSS
2022-12-21 09:25:00 $1.31 -0.76% +12.18% +6.01% -3.87% -6.11% +20.61% -3.82% - LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $1.35 -3.70% -5.19% - -14.81% -6.67% +7.41% -5.93% +0.74% LOSS
2022-08-03 09:25:00 $6.65 -5.56% -19.52% -24.96% -25.11% -15.04% +0.60% -1.95% -3.76% LOSS
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $3.47 +0.29% -6.05% -3.46% -3.46% +9.22% +9.22% -20.46% -1.15% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on MDIA

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MDIA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MDIA Strategy →

Why Analyze MDIA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MDIA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MDIA historically offers an average upside of +17.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MDIA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, MDIA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MDIA performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.