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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MGY

Trade-Ideas alerts 60.9% at 30-min n=23 2022-03-10 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 23 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Class A Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 26, 2017 🔗 www.magnoliaoilgas.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.48B 👥 Employees: 262
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) reserves. The company's oil and natural gas properties are located in Karnes County and the Giddings area of South Texas, where it targets the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations. It focuses on generating value for shareholders by delivering steady, moderate annual production growth resulting from its capital spending philosophy. The company operates in only one segment and derives the majority of its revenue from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).
Total alerts
23
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
60.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.26%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.96%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MGY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +2.90%
Worst: -3.98%
Trades: 13/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +3.14%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 13/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +3.17%
Worst: -3.56%
Trades: 14/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +3.86%
Worst: -3.67%
Trades: 13/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.85%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +5.04%
Worst: -4.30%
Trades: 13/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.96%
Best MFE: +5.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 197 min

On average, MGY alerts reach +1.96% profit potential within 197 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.88%
Worst MAE: -4.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.24:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.24x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, MGY typically reaches +1.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 47.8%
Avg Gap -0.30%
Best Gap +2.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How MGY compares to 70 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MGY: -0.22% Sector: -0.18% -0.05%
EOD Gain
MGY: +0.85% Sector: +33.00% -32.15%
Avg MFE
MGY: +1.96% Sector: +3.46% -1.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $23.7 +1.27% +1.31% +2.07% +1.14% +1.56% +2.36% +0.30% +0.30% WIN
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $24.07 +0.60% +1.81% +1.85% +2.60% +4.24% +4.69% -0.04% +0.25% WIN
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $28.25 -0.99% -1.43% -1.20% -0.74% -1.59% +0.07% -1.84% -0.81% LOSS
2026-03-25 09:25:00 $31.13 -0.81% +0.32% +0.45% +0.03% +1.00% +1.11% -1.19% -0.87% LOSS
2026-02-11 09:25:00 $25.72 +1.67% +2.14% +2.95% +2.68% +4.82% +5.17% +1.01% +1.09% WIN
2026-02-05 09:25:00 $26.91 -2.82% -3.01% -2.94% -3.49% -2.60% -2.12% -4.68% -2.82% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:26 $25.24 +0.28% +0.95% +0.75% +1.17% +1.31% +1.70% -0.48% -0.24% WIN
2024-10-10 09:25:16 $26.4 +0.19% -0.42% +0.08% +0.64% +0.34% +1.36% -0.64% +0.19% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:25 $23.88 +0.54% +1.80% +2.97% +3.85% +4.06% +4.92% -0.21% -0.21% WIN
2024-09-24 09:28:55 $25.7 +0.93% +1.13% +1.21% +0.86% -0.47% +1.44% +0.10% +0.47% WIN
2024-07-29 09:26:13 $26.6 +0.60% +0.34% -0.60% -1.09% -0.90% +0.64% +0.38% +0.38% WIN
2024-07-24 09:25:08 $25.9 +0.81% +1.51% -0.31% -0.12% -1.16% +1.51% +0.19% +0.19% WIN
2024-05-15 09:25:42 $25.83 -0.46% -0.83% -2.09% -2.30% -0.62% +0.12% -0.74% +0.12% LOSS
2024-03-05 09:28:38 $23.27 +0.43% +1.42% +0.72% -0.17% +0.95% +2.28% -0.39% -0.39% WIN
2024-03-04 09:28:55 $24.25 -3.53% -2.27% -1.65% -2.74% -4.04% -0.41% -2.72% -2.76% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:25:00 $21.01 +2.90% +3.14% +3.17% +3.86% +3.14% +4.24% +1.57% +2.38% WIN
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $22.35 -3.98% -3.00% -3.56% -3.67% -4.30% -2.55% -4.07% -3.22% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:28:00 $21.65 -0.60% -0.51% -0.05% +0.53% +0.00% +1.80% -0.69% -0.14% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $21.03 +0.85% +0.48% +1.17% +2.14% +5.04% +5.14% -0.24% +0.81% WIN
2023-07-06 09:25:00 $20.82 -1.49% -0.84% -1.93% -2.59% -1.78% -0.19% -1.80% -1.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 60.9% Baseline on MGY

The 60.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MGY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MGY Strategy →

Why Analyze MGY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MGY historically offers an average upside of +1.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MGY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.9%, MGY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MGY performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.