Latest signal:
MGY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-10 → 2024-10-28
⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MGY alerts reach +1.99% profit potential within 160 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.81%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, MGY typically reaches +1.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How MGY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MGY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | 09:26:26 | $25.24 | +0.28% | +0.95% | +0.75% | +1.17% | +1.31% | +1.70% | -0.48% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-10-10 | 09:25:16 | $26.4 | +0.19% | -0.42% | +0.08% | +0.64% | +0.34% | +1.36% | -0.64% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:25:25 | $23.88 | +0.54% | +1.80% | +2.97% | +3.85% | +4.06% | +4.92% | -0.21% | -0.21% | WIN |
| 2024-09-24 | 09:28:55 | $25.7 | +0.93% | +1.13% | +1.21% | +0.86% | -0.47% | +1.44% | +0.10% | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2024-07-29 | 09:26:13 | $26.6 | +0.60% | +0.34% | -0.60% | -1.09% | -0.90% | +0.64% | +0.38% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2024-07-24 | 09:25:08 | $25.9 | +0.81% | +1.51% | -0.31% | -0.12% | -1.16% | +1.51% | +0.19% | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-05-15 | 09:25:42 | $25.83 | -0.46% | -0.83% | -2.09% | -2.30% | -0.62% | +0.12% | -0.74% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-05 | 09:28:38 | $23.27 | +0.43% | +1.42% | +0.72% | -0.17% | +0.95% | +2.28% | -0.39% | -0.39% | WIN |
| 2024-03-04 | 09:28:55 | $24.25 | -3.53% | -2.27% | -1.65% | -2.74% | -4.04% | -0.41% | -2.72% | -2.76% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:25:00 | $21.01 | +2.90% | +3.14% | +3.17% | +3.86% | +3.14% | +4.24% | +1.57% | +2.38% | WIN |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:28:00 | $22.35 | -3.98% | -3.00% | -3.56% | -3.67% | -4.30% | -2.55% | -4.07% | -3.22% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:28:00 | $21.65 | -0.60% | -0.51% | -0.05% | +0.53% | - | +1.80% | -0.69% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-28 | 09:27:00 | $21.03 | +0.85% | +0.48% | +1.17% | +2.14% | +5.04% | +5.14% | -0.24% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2023-07-06 | 09:25:00 | $20.82 | -1.49% | -0.84% | -1.93% | -2.59% | -1.78% | -0.19% | -1.80% | -1.39% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-04 | 09:25:00 | $25.5 | -0.18% | -0.59% | +0.71% | +0.90% | +3.14% | +3.29% | -1.28% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-02 | 09:25:00 | $26.65 | -1.43% | -0.51% | +0.98% | -0.26% | +2.74% | +3.00% | -2.33% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-10 | 09:25:00 | $21.99 | +0.05% | +0.91% | +1.29% | +0.84% | +4.59% | +5.59% | -0.41% | -0.18% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MGY Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 58.8% win rate, MGY has -0.24% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MGY profitable.
🔧 Fix MGY Risk/Reward →Why Analyze MGY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MGY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MGY historically offers an average upside of +1.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MGY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 58.8%, MGY shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.67%) outweigh average wins (+0.76%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MGY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.24%). This suggests MGY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.