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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MKC

Trade-Ideas alerts 61.5% at 15-min n=13 2023-10-03 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 13 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS (SIC 2090)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.mccormickcorporation.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.25B 👥 Employees: 14,100
In its 135-plus-year history, McCormick has become the leading global manufacturer of spices, herbs, extracts, seasonings, and other flavorings. In addition to its namesake brand, the firm's portfolio includes Old Bay, Zatarain's, Thai Kitchen, Frank's RedHot, French's, and Cholula. This mix will be complemented by the pending addition of Unilever's food brands, primarily Knorr cooking aids and Hellmann's mayonnaise. After the deal close, the combined business is slated to generate 70% of sales from consumers and 30% from restaurants and other packaged food and beverage manufacturers. Around 40% of sales are slated to come from faster-growing emerging markets, with Europe (23%) and North America (36%) accounting for the remainder.
Total alerts
13
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
61.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.00%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MKC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +3.78%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 7/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 61.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.68%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -3.71%
Trades: 8/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +2.12%
Worst: -5.19%
Trades: 6/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.73%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: -6.29%
Trades: 7/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +3.76%
Worst: -4.34%
Trades: 4/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.00%
Best MFE: +4.36%
Avg Time to MFE: 59 min

On average, MKC alerts reach +2.00% profit potential within 59 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -2.42%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, MKC typically reaches +2.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 53.8%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +2.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS

How MKC compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MKC: +0.09% Sector: +0.41% -0.31%
EOD Gain
MKC: -0.76% Sector: -0.00% -0.76%
Avg MFE
MKC: +2.00% Sector: +4.27% -2.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MKC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $44.25 -0.94% -0.58% +0.36% +1.31% +0.95% +1.76% -2.26% -1.65% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $45.85 +1.13% +0.88% -0.89% -0.46% -3.73% +2.38% -0.44% +2.07% WIN
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $47.52 +0.09% -2.00% -2.34% -1.72% -0.32% +1.95% -2.42% +0.00% WIN
2026-05-14 09:25:00 $45.7 +0.94% +1.61% +2.12% +2.42% +1.77% +3.19% +0.31% +0.57% WIN
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $54.02 -0.43% -1.52% -0.80% -0.28% -1.43% +0.61% -0.81% -0.04% LOSS
2026-01-22 09:25:00 $63.0 +3.78% +0.41% -0.09% -0.63% -2.86% +4.32% -0.79% +0.46% WIN
2024-06-27 09:28:30 $71.0 +0.32% +0.99% +0.08% +1.08% -0.56% +1.56% -0.92% +0.97% WIN
2024-03-26 09:26:18 $74.5 -0.72% +2.17% +2.04% +2.42% +3.76% +4.36% -1.01% +0.47% LOSS
2024-03-14 09:29:00 $68.88 -0.86% -0.61% -0.22% -1.00% -1.31% -0.03% -0.98% -0.71% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:27:31 $66.0 -0.03% +0.32% +0.53% +0.70% +1.59% +2.86% -0.20% -0.12% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $69.97 +0.34% +0.64% -0.19% +0.03% -2.42% +0.73% -0.13% +0.17% WIN
2023-10-18 09:27:00 $61.86 +0.21% +0.69% +0.47% +0.54% -1.05% +1.11% -0.20% +0.05% WIN
2023-10-03 09:25:00 $71.5 -2.61% -3.71% -5.19% -6.29% -4.34% +1.24% +0.00% -1.66% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MKC Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 61.5% win rate, MKC has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making MKC profitable.

🔧 Fix MKC Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze MKC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MKC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MKC historically offers an average upside of +2.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MKC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.5%, MKC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.68%) outweigh average wins (+0.96%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MKC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.05%). This suggests MKC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.