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MLCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 68 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-12-02

⚠️ Small sample size (68 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 19, 2006 🔗 www.melco-resorts.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.50B 👥 Employees: 15,997
Melco Resorts & Entertainment is one of only six licensed casino operators in Macao. It operates Altira, a complex focused on premium customers; City of Dreams, an integrated resort in Cotai serving both mass-market and premium patrons; and Mocha Clubs' electronic gaming machines. The company also has a majority interest in Studio City, which opened in 2015. Outside Macao, Melco owns City of Dreams Manila in the Philippines and City of Dreams Mediterranean in Cyprus. The business mix in terms of adjusted EBITDA was about 81% from Macao, with the rest largely from the Philippines as of 2024.
📊
68
Total Alerts
🎯
55.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.37%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.64%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.7%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +5.02%
Worst: -2.80%
Trades: 36/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +10.62%
Worst: -5.57%
Trades: 32/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.7%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +11.54%
Worst: -6.08%
Trades: 34/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +18.98%
Worst: -6.81%
Trades: 37/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +13.35%
Worst: -15.45%
Trades: 34/32

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.64%
Best MFE: +19.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, MLCO alerts reach +3.64% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.16%
Worst MAE: -4.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 68 alerts, MLCO typically reaches +3.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 68
Gap Up % 39.7%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +3.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MLCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-02 09:29:57 $6.54 +2.14% +1.38% +2.06% +0.99% +0.31% +3.21% -0.61% -0.31% WIN
2024-11-01 09:26:20 $6.92 -1.81% -0.87% -2.02% -2.60% -2.89% -0.29% -0.29% -0.72% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:25:03 $7.21 +2.36% +0.07% +0.97% +1.66% +4.99% +5.96% -0.28% -0.14% WIN
2024-08-05 09:28:18 $4.78 +5.02% +5.65% +7.95% +8.05% +11.30% +13.39% - - WIN
2024-07-09 09:28:54 $6.65 +0.15% +0.83% +0.45% +0.45% +1.95% +3.46% -0.30% +0.45% WIN
2024-07-01 09:29:26 $7.48 -0.47% -0.87% -2.34% -3.14% -6.15% +0.67% +0.13% +0.67% LOSS
2024-05-30 09:28:50 $8.06 -0.68% -0.37% -0.87% -1.12% - +0.62% -1.99% -0.37% LOSS
2024-05-06 09:26:37 $7.5 -0.33% -1.13% -1.40% -1.13% -1.73% +0.67% - - LOSS
2024-04-01 09:28:46 $7.3 +0.55% +1.51% +2.06% +0.75% +1.92% +4.25% -0.27% - WIN
2024-03-12 09:25:05 $7.44 +1.48% +0.40% +0.13% -0.13% +0.81% +2.82% -1.08% +0.67% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $8.04 - - - - +1.24% +3.86% -2.86% +0.12% -
2023-08-01 09:28:00 $12.9 +4.73% +5.58% +6.05% +3.22% +2.09% +7.60% -1.94% -1.01% WIN
2023-06-28 09:26:00 $12.21 +1.11% +0.33% +0.90% +2.50% +0.66% +3.60% +1.72% +1.72% WIN
2023-06-01 09:26:00 $11.03 -0.73% -0.73% -1.81% +0.77% +0.82% +4.44% -4.03% -1.18% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:28:00 $10.73 -0.93% -0.61% -0.84% -1.96% +2.98% +3.08% -2.24% +0.19% LOSS
2023-05-30 09:27:00 $11.25 +1.78% +0.22% -0.71% -1.33% -0.13% +2.13% -0.44% -0.44% WIN
2023-05-25 09:29:00 $11.2 -0.18% +0.27% +1.61% -0.36% -0.98% +1.88% -1.25% -1.25% LOSS
2023-05-23 09:29:00 $11.19 - - +0.13% -0.40% -3.22% +1.39% - +0.54% -
2023-05-22 09:27:00 $11.62 +0.26% +0.69% +0.22% +1.68% -1.81% +2.15% -0.95% -0.60% WIN
2023-05-19 09:28:00 $11.64 -0.64% -1.18% -0.34% -0.90% -1.46% - -1.14% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.2% Baseline on MLCO

The 55.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MLCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MLCO Strategy →

Why Analyze MLCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MLCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MLCO historically offers an average upside of +3.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MLCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.2%, MLCO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MLCO performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.37%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.