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MNSO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-06 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MINISO Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing four Ordinary Shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 15, 2020 🔗 www.miniso.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.80B 👥 Employees: 7,204
MINISO Group Holding Ltd is a value retailer offering a variety of trendy lifestyle products featuring IP design. The principal activity of the Company is investment holding. The company's product categories include home decor, small electronics, textiles, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care, snacks, fragrance and perfumes, and stationery and gifts. Its segment includes the MINISO brand, which is engaged in the Design, buying, and sale of lifestyle products, and the TOP TOY brand, which is engaged in the Design, buying, and sale of pop toys. The company generates maximum revenue from the MINISO brand segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from China.
📊
52
Total Alerts
🎯
55.8%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.45%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +5.67%
Worst: -5.43%
Trades: 25/25

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +7.75%
Worst: -5.49%
Trades: 27/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.8%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +5.83%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 28/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.46%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +12.57%
Worst: -9.13%
Trades: 29/23

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.52%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: +17.51%
Worst: -12.28%
Trades: 25/27

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.36%
Best MFE: +22.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, MNSO alerts reach +3.36% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.22%
Worst MAE: -6.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, MNSO typically reaches +3.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 57.7%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +2.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MNSO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:29:21 $24.3 -1.67% -2.43% -3.00% -2.82% -1.60% -0.04% -0.58% -0.58% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:21 $26.2 -0.19% -3.82% -3.23% -3.80% -8.13% +0.95% -0.95% -0.73% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:25:19 $24.9 +0.18% +0.36% +0.88% -0.98% -0.76% +1.61% -0.40% +0.20% WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:36 $22.91 +1.09% +2.79% +4.28% +6.87% +9.21% +9.43% -0.87% -0.13% WIN
2024-12-02 09:27:28 $23.06 -0.33% -2.99% -1.69% -3.51% -1.04% +0.87% -1.34% -0.22% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:25:13 $18.51 +5.67% +0.32% +2.11% +4.16% +8.10% +8.59% -0.86% +1.57% WIN
2024-10-28 09:27:05 $18.79 +1.36% +0.53% +2.28% +1.76% +2.39% +2.98% -0.05% +0.64% WIN
2024-10-17 09:28:17 $15.5 -0.52% -0.65% -1.32% -1.74% -2.19% +0.65% -0.30% +0.32% LOSS
2024-10-10 09:28:02 $18.01 +0.61% +0.67% +1.50% +1.44% +2.83% +3.83% -1.14% +0.11% WIN
2024-10-09 09:28:46 $17.2 -0.52% +1.69% +2.82% +2.73% +5.29% +6.22% -1.57% +0.23% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:27:56 $18.03 +1.22% +2.50% +3.05% +3.66% +4.94% +7.27% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2024-10-04 09:28:21 $19.96 -0.08% -0.29% +0.20% +2.50% +3.31% +4.61% -1.10% +0.30% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:29:26 $19.69 +0.71% -1.63% -1.52% -3.45% -3.50% +2.29% -0.05% +0.61% WIN
2024-09-30 09:26:18 $19.5 -0.74% -4.82% -2.05% -4.28% -10.05% +1.38% +0.05% +0.77% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:27:37 $16.53 -1.57% -0.85% +2.36% +0.54% +3.63% +4.30% -3.99% +0.67% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:28:04 $15.86 +2.55% +3.85% +5.30% +1.61% -2.71% +5.67% +0.06% +0.19% WIN
2024-09-25 09:26:09 $13.85 +1.08% -0.29% +0.87% +4.01% +1.08% +4.91% -0.94% +0.36% WIN
2024-09-24 09:26:56 $13.44 -0.78% -3.53% -3.61% -6.03% -0.30% +3.05% -6.92% +0.07% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:25:06 $13.99 -5.43% -3.50% -0.14% +0.86% -1.93% +1.86% -5.72% -3.36% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:25:00 $16.91 +3.25% +4.26% +3.19% +0.41% -2.84% +6.80% +0.24% +2.90% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.8% Baseline on MNSO

The 55.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MNSO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MNSO Strategy →

Why Analyze MNSO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MNSO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MNSO historically offers an average upside of +3.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MNSO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.8%, MNSO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MNSO performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.