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MNST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 37 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-08-08

⚠️ Small sample size (37 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 06, 1985 🔗 www.monsterbevcorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $80.12B 👥 Employees: 6,558
Monster Beverage is a leader in the energy drink category within the nonalcoholic ready-to-drink beverage market, generating two thirds of revenue in the US and Canada. The well-known Monster trademark includes brands such as Monster Energy, Monster Ultra, Java Monster, and Juice Monster. The firm also owns other energy drink brands, such as Reign, NOS, Burn, Bang and Mother, and brews and distributes beers and flavored malt beverages following the acquisition of a craft brewer in 2022. Monster controls branding and innovation but outsources beverage manufacturing and packaging to copackers and finished goods distribution to bottlers in the global Coca-Cola system (pursuant to a 20-year agreement inked in 2015). Coke is the largest shareholder of Monster with a 19.5% stake.
📊
37
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.23%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.94%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +2.62%
Worst: -2.23%
Trades: 15/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 13/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.41%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 16/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +2.01%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 16/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -14.07%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -21.63%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -51.80%
Trades: 12/24

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.94%
Best MFE: +3.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, MNST alerts reach +0.94% profit potential within 161 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.52%
Worst MAE: -3.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.82:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 37 alerts, MNST typically reaches +0.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 37
Gap Up % 45.9%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS

How MNST compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MNST: -0.12% Sector: -0.21% +0.09%
EOD Gain
MNST: -14.53% Sector: -10.26% -4.27%
Avg MFE
MNST: +0.88% Sector: +2.73% -1.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MNST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-08 09:29:14 $44.9 -2.23% -0.90% -1.85% +0.02% +0.23% +1.43% -3.52% -0.04% LOSS
2024-06-14 09:26:10 $48.36 +0.14% +0.70% - +0.57% -0.68% +0.92% -0.29% +0.25% WIN
2024-06-13 09:25:34 $49.43 -0.59% -0.36% -0.87% -1.00% -1.44% +0.12% -0.61% -0.10% LOSS
2024-06-12 09:26:51 $51.31 -0.84% -0.65% -0.88% -1.32% -3.00% +0.02% +0.02% -0.45% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:26:36 $53.92 -0.89% -1.33% -1.70% -2.15% -2.73% +0.13% -0.07% -0.06% LOSS
2024-06-05 09:26:24 $52.23 -0.05% -0.44% -0.65% -0.16% -0.44% +0.52% -0.90% -0.10% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:28:54 $54.77 -0.44% -0.77% -0.62% -0.76% -0.53% +0.11% -0.42% -0.07% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:25:27 $55.49 -0.96% -0.98% -1.24% -1.44% -2.14% +0.13% +0.09% -0.41% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:26:48 $53.72 +0.18% -0.32% -0.09% +0.26% -0.50% +0.74% +0.45% +0.58% WIN
2024-04-25 09:25:39 $52.31 +2.62% +1.53% +0.99% +0.21% +1.61% +3.35% -0.07% -0.05% WIN
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $54.88 - - - - +1.93% +2.11% -0.12% +0.49% -
2023-11-29 09:26:00 $55.46 -0.74% -0.94% -0.85% -1.12% -1.35% +0.07% -0.59% +0.04% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:26:00 $55.8 -0.04% -0.14% +0.04% -0.16% -0.68% +0.18% -0.18% +0.02% LOSS
2023-10-25 09:25:00 $50.11 -0.30% -0.23% +0.06% -0.06% -0.06% +0.85% -0.64% -0.36% LOSS
2023-10-23 09:28:00 $49.67 -0.24% -0.10% +0.81% +1.23% +1.27% +1.85% -0.48% +0.16% LOSS
2023-10-10 09:25:00 $50.0 -0.10% -0.55% -0.12% +0.47% +0.80% +1.27% -0.64% +0.32% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:27:00 $57.84 +0.59% +0.19% +0.24% +0.03% +1.35% +1.54% -0.03% +0.49% WIN
2023-05-23 09:26:00 $59.11 -0.78% -0.63% -0.96% -1.00% -1.98% -0.10% -0.78% -0.10% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:27:00 $57.64 -0.04% +0.35% +0.99% +0.62% +1.25% +2.01% -0.16% +0.24% LOSS
2023-04-21 09:26:00 $52.82 +0.68% +0.09% -0.32% +0.15% +0.47% +0.85% -0.36% +0.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MNST Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.23% average gain, MNST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MNST for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MNST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MNST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MNST historically offers an average upside of +0.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MNST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, MNST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MNST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MNST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.23%). This suggests MNST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.