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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MO

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.0% at EOD n=100 2022-01-05 → 2026-09-21

🏢 Company Profile

Altria Group, Inc. CIGARETTES (SIC 2111)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.altria.com
💰 Market Cap: $112.46B 👥 Employees: 5,900
Altria comprises Philip Morris USA, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, Horizon Innovations, and Helix Innovations. Through its tobacco subsidiaries, Altria maintains the leading position in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the United States and the number-two spot in machine-made cigars. The company's Marlboro brand is the leading cigarette brand in the US with 40% share in 2025. Beyond its core business, it holds an 8% interest in the world's largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev, and a 41% stake in cannabis manufacturer Cronos. In reduced-risk products, it acquired vaping company Njoy Holdings in 2023, operates a joint venture with Japan Tobacco in the heated tobacco category for the US, and sells the On brand in nicotine pouches.
Total alerts
100
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
49.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.34%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.04%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -2.26%
Trades: 46/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -4.00%
Trades: 42/57

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +3.73%
Worst: -4.48%
Trades: 47/52

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -4.89%
Trades: 44/54

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +3.91%
Worst: -6.39%
Trades: 49/51

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.04%
Best MFE: +4.23%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, MO alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -3.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 100 alerts, MO typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 100
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CIGARETTES

How MO compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MO: -0.03% Sector: -0.11% +0.08%
EOD Gain
MO: -0.37% Sector: +3598676.54% -3598676.90%
Avg MFE
MO: +1.02% Sector: +2.80% -1.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $69.59 -0.32% -0.59% -0.70% -1.34% -1.52% -0.07% -0.42% -0.13% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $70.23 +0.21% +1.15% +0.72% +0.56% +0.54% +1.17% -0.40% -0.23% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $68.68 -0.06% -0.54% -0.20% -0.36% -0.74% +0.51% -0.23% +0.12% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $70.49 -0.66% -2.02% -2.47% -1.56% -3.62% +0.68% -0.55% +0.29% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $70.36 -0.85% -1.06% -0.52% -0.45% -1.09% -0.05% -0.22% -0.39% LOSS
2026-06-11 09:25:00 $73.33 -0.06% -0.17% -0.70% -0.34% -2.61% +0.58% -0.62% -0.12% LOSS
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $73.89 -2.26% -2.06% -1.34% -0.61% -1.68% +1.11% -3.87% -0.05% LOSS
2026-04-14 09:25:00 $66.47 -0.81% -1.71% -1.93% -1.36% -1.28% +0.11% -0.18% -0.41% LOSS
2026-01-29 09:25:00 $61.12 -0.02% +1.28% +1.06% +0.51% -2.23% +2.29% -0.61% -0.05% LOSS
2026-01-09 09:25:00 $56.64 +0.23% +0.65% +0.44% +1.25% +1.57% +1.62% -0.07% +0.24% WIN
2026-01-05 09:25:00 $57.01 -0.22% -0.67% -1.07% -2.04% -1.25% +0.18% -0.42% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:52 $51.11 -1.86% -1.78% -1.35% -0.25% +0.84% +1.06% -2.02% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:29 $52.49 +0.88% +1.10% +1.39% +1.51% +1.83% +2.86% -0.34% -0.13% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:30 $50.8 +1.25% +1.00% +0.81% +0.37% +0.47% +1.46% +0.10% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:45 $51.5 +0.19% -0.12% +0.06% -0.14% -1.22% +0.46% -0.91% -0.68% WIN
2024-10-04 09:27:11 $49.6 +0.58% +0.58% +0.23% +0.28% +1.01% +1.05% +0.00% +0.19% WIN
2024-10-01 09:26:34 $51.08 -0.10% -0.18% -0.13% +0.21% -0.29% +0.49% -0.41% -0.04% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:27:00 $54.11 -0.02% +0.29% -0.16% -0.23% -0.06% +0.33% -0.06% +0.00% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:11 $49.68 +0.40% +0.10% -0.06% -0.21% -0.66% +2.20% +0.62% +0.62% WIN
2024-08-01 09:28:11 $49.12 +1.40% +1.18% +1.00% +1.25% +1.83% +1.87% +0.04% +1.00% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.0% win rate and -0.34% average gain, MO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MO historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.0%, MO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.34%). This suggests MO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.