Latest signal:
MO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 89 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2025-01-30
⚠️ Small sample size (89 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MO alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 124 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 89 alerts, MO typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CIGARETTES
How MO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-30 | 09:28:52 | $51.11 | -1.86% | -1.78% | -1.35% | -0.25% | +0.84% | +1.06% | -2.02% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:29 | $52.49 | +0.88% | +1.10% | +1.39% | +1.51% | +1.83% | +2.86% | -0.34% | -0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:30 | $50.8 | +1.25% | +1.00% | +0.81% | +0.37% | +0.47% | +1.46% | +0.10% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:27:45 | $51.5 | +0.19% | -0.12% | +0.06% | -0.14% | -1.22% | +0.46% | -0.91% | -0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:27:11 | $49.6 | +0.58% | +0.58% | +0.23% | +0.28% | +1.01% | +1.05% | - | +0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:26:34 | $51.08 | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.13% | +0.21% | -0.29% | +0.49% | -0.41% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-10 | 09:27:00 | $54.11 | -0.02% | +0.29% | -0.16% | -0.23% | -0.06% | +0.33% | -0.06% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:29:11 | $49.68 | +0.40% | +0.10% | -0.06% | -0.21% | -0.66% | +2.20% | +0.62% | +0.62% | WIN |
| 2024-08-01 | 09:28:11 | $49.12 | +1.40% | +1.18% | +1.00% | +1.25% | +1.83% | +1.87% | +0.04% | +1.00% | WIN |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:29:52 | $48.19 | -0.54% | -0.12% | -0.36% | -0.37% | +1.70% | +1.78% | -1.29% | +0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:28:00 | $43.95 | -0.16% | -0.15% | -0.49% | -0.25% | -0.32% | +0.43% | -0.11% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-05 | 09:28:13 | $41.49 | +0.33% | +0.30% | +0.37% | +0.27% | +0.39% | +0.66% | -0.29% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-03-22 | 09:25:24 | $43.96 | -0.41% | -0.86% | -0.99% | -1.22% | -2.23% | - | - | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-21 | 09:29:41 | $44.85 | -0.56% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.22% | +0.33% | -0.58% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-18 | 09:29:40 | $43.91 | +0.32% | +0.27% | +0.82% | +1.32% | +1.37% | +1.94% | -0.34% | -0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-03-06 | 09:29:07 | $40.75 | +1.08% | +1.57% | +1.36% | +1.33% | +1.72% | +2.69% | -0.07% | +0.76% | WIN |
| 2024-03-05 | 09:28:28 | $39.93 | +0.15% | -0.14% | -0.23% | +0.21% | +0.03% | +0.73% | -0.52% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-02-13 | 09:28:48 | $40.37 | +0.07% | -0.32% | -0.68% | -0.66% | -0.35% | +0.22% | -0.32% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-02-01 | 00:00:00 | $40.63 | - | - | - | - | +2.68% | +2.76% | -1.18% | -0.07% | - |
| 2023-12-21 | 09:28:00 | $40.5 | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.04% | -0.01% | -0.47% | +0.23% | -0.35% | -0.22% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MO Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.8% win rate, MO has -0.22% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MO profitable.
🔧 Fix MO Risk/Reward →Why Analyze MO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MO historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.8%, MO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.64%) outweigh average wins (+1.04%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.22%). This suggests MO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.