Latest signal:
MPLX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-18 → 2024-08-12
⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MPLX alerts reach +0.87% profit potential within 161 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, MPLX typically reaches +0.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)
How MPLX compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MPLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | 09:26:10 | $41.0 | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.61% | -0.60% | -1.37% | +0.07% | -0.49% | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-10 | 09:27:12 | $41.1 | +0.07% | -0.27% | -0.26% | -0.32% | +0.32% | +0.58% | -0.39% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-04-26 | 09:26:00 | $42.31 | -0.87% | -0.90% | -1.23% | -1.08% | -0.85% | -0.59% | -1.09% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-24 | 09:25:12 | $41.64 | -0.38% | -0.60% | -0.30% | -0.05% | +0.31% | +0.55% | -0.94% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-19 | 09:28:09 | $40.39 | +0.12% | +0.69% | +0.92% | +1.22% | +0.72% | +1.81% | -0.11% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-04-17 | 09:27:11 | $40.05 | -0.35% | +0.12% | +0.31% | -0.01% | -0.15% | +0.42% | -0.65% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:27:53 | $41.23 | -0.02% | +0.63% | +0.12% | +0.30% | -1.43% | +0.64% | -0.17% | -0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:29:21 | $41.95 | -0.57% | -0.66% | -0.85% | -0.57% | -1.33% | -0.24% | -0.45% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-05 | 09:27:01 | $42.45 | -0.08% | -0.35% | -0.59% | -0.74% | -0.75% | +0.02% | -0.75% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-03 | 09:26:47 | $42.3 | -0.56% | -0.64% | -0.43% | -0.38% | +0.09% | +0.38% | -0.76% | -0.73% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:25:38 | $41.66 | -0.36% | -0.56% | -0.60% | -0.73% | -0.24% | - | -0.86% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $36.15 | -0.04% | -0.30% | -0.30% | -0.03% | +0.17% | +0.58% | -0.47% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $30.59 | -0.52% | -3.43% | -3.17% | -3.47% | -4.12% | +0.03% | -0.56% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-28 | 09:25:00 | $29.57 | +0.54% | +0.65% | +1.32% | +1.12% | -0.44% | +2.03% | +0.10% | +1.12% | WIN |
| 2022-05-31 | 09:25:00 | $32.65 | +0.03% | +0.52% | +0.44% | +0.55% | +0.92% | +1.07% | -0.70% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2022-04-26 | 09:25:00 | $32.63 | +0.43% | +0.49% | +0.06% | -0.15% | -0.46% | +1.49% | -0.46% | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2022-04-20 | 09:25:00 | $35.11 | -0.23% | -0.06% | -0.44% | -0.93% | -0.20% | +0.48% | -1.14% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-24 | 09:25:00 | $32.97 | +0.24% | +0.46% | +0.27% | +0.18% | +0.73% | +0.73% | -0.76% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2022-03-17 | 09:25:00 | $32.07 | -0.34% | -0.36% | -1.34% | -0.72% | -0.62% | +0.16% | -1.59% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-14 | 09:25:00 | $33.15 | -0.39% | -2.38% | -3.80% | -2.32% | -3.23% | -0.30% | -0.63% | -0.51% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MPLX Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.9% win rate, MPLX has -0.09% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MPLX profitable.
🔧 Fix MPLX Risk/Reward →Why Analyze MPLX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MPLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MPLX historically offers an average upside of +0.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MPLX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, MPLX shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.82%) outweigh average wins (+0.60%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MPLX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.09%). This suggests MPLX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.