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MPTI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-10 → 2022-10-10

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

M-tron Industries, Inc. ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC (SIC 3679)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Aug 11, 2022 🔗 www.mtronpti.com
💰 Market Cap: $181.8M 👥 Employees: 396
M-Tron Industries Inc is a diversified holding company with subsidiaries engaged in designing, manufacturing, and marketing high-engineered, high-reliability frequency and spectrum control products used to control the frequency or timing of signals in electronic circuits in various applications. The company's serving markets are aerospace and defense, space, and avionics. The company offers products such as microwave and millimeter wave filters; cavity, crystal, ceramic, lumped element, and switched filters; crystal resonators, integrated microwave assemblies, and solid-state power amplifier products.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-20.38%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -20.38%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -20.38%
Best: -20.38%
Worst: -20.38%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.48%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.48%
Best: -7.48%
Worst: -7.48%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -62.86%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -62.86%
Best: -62.86%
Worst: -62.86%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.81%
Best MFE: +2.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, MPTI alerts reach +2.81% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -14.29%
Worst MAE: -14.29%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 14.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.2:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MPTI typically reaches +2.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -20.38%
Best Gap -20.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC

How MPTI compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MPTI: +0.00% Sector: -0.22% +0.22%
EOD Gain
MPTI: +0.00% Sector: -0.20% +0.20%
Avg MFE
MPTI: +0.00% Sector: +4.46% -4.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MPTI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-10-10 09:25:00 $21.0 -20.38% -7.48% - - -62.86% +2.81% -14.29% -20.38% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MPTI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -20.38% average gain, MPTI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MPTI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MPTI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MPTI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MPTI historically offers an average upside of +2.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MPTI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, MPTI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MPTI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MPTI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -20.38%). This suggests MPTI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.