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MRO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 265 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-10-31

📊
265
Total Alerts
🎯
55.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +8.88%
Worst: -2.71%
Trades: 124/140

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +4.73%
Worst: -4.55%
Trades: 131/131

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.1%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +4.52%
Worst: -5.45%
Trades: 146/119

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +4.96%
Worst: -6.03%
Trades: 130/133

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +7.20%
Worst: -11.39%
Trades: 133/128

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.06%
Best MFE: +14.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, MRO alerts reach +2.06% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.86%
Worst MAE: -5.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.86%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 265 alerts, MRO typically reaches +2.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 265
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +5.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-31 09:26:22 $26.57 +1.77% +3.12% +3.24% +3.39% +4.25% +5.31% +0.38% +0.94% WIN
2024-05-29 09:29:14 $29.31 -1.02% -2.08% -2.08% -1.14% -2.15% +0.14% -0.85% +0.14% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:27:41 $27.35 +0.84% +1.28% +1.55% +2.12% +0.55% +2.29% -0.40% - WIN
2024-04-15 09:27:50 $29.06 +0.89% +0.64% +0.41% -0.26% -1.00% +0.93% +0.03% +0.21% WIN
2024-04-12 09:29:25 $29.75 +0.12% +0.71% +0.29% +0.34% -2.22% +1.04% -0.17% +0.07% WIN
2024-04-02 09:28:50 $28.79 -0.61% -0.02% +0.05% -0.36% - +0.28% -0.31% -0.31% LOSS
2024-03-13 09:26:45 $25.52 +0.51% +1.17% +1.18% +1.10% +1.49% +1.88% +0.10% +0.12% WIN
2024-03-01 09:29:36 $24.56 -0.16% -0.79% -0.55% +0.16% +0.16% +0.61% -1.10% -0.65% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:26:07 $23.7 -1.52% +1.03% +1.22% +1.29% +1.18% +2.95% -2.45% -1.39% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:28:00 $24.93 +0.48% +0.10% +0.38% -0.88% -1.44% +0.85% -0.52% +0.28% WIN
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $24.3 +0.41% +0.97% +1.21% +1.28% +0.58% +1.73% -0.74% - WIN
2023-11-22 09:28:00 $24.8 -1.45% -0.69% +0.04% +0.46% +1.77% +1.98% -1.98% -1.09% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:29:00 $25.43 -0.79% -0.98% -1.02% -1.10% -0.47% +0.08% -1.46% -0.31% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:25:00 $25.0 +0.44% +0.84% +0.89% +1.70% +2.24% +3.24% -1.00% +0.20% WIN
2023-11-06 09:29:00 $27.65 -0.04% -1.39% -1.54% -1.32% -3.76% +0.25% -0.33% +0.14% LOSS
2023-10-20 09:29:00 $29.13 -0.34% -1.13% -0.79% -1.82% -2.20% +0.52% -0.14% - LOSS
2023-10-18 09:25:00 $28.85 +0.01% +0.42% +0.57% +0.26% - +0.97% -0.40% +0.17% WIN
2023-10-16 09:28:00 $28.28 -0.35% -0.46% -1.03% -1.45% +0.60% +0.71% -1.91% - LOSS
2023-10-13 09:29:00 $27.21 +0.66% +0.26% +0.62% +1.69% +3.16% +3.49% +0.11% +0.55% WIN
2023-10-09 09:27:00 $25.62 -0.17% +0.31% -0.20% +0.57% +2.34% +3.01% -0.98% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.1% Baseline on MRO

The 55.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MRO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MRO Strategy →

Why Analyze MRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRO historically offers an average upside of +2.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.1%, MRO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MRO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.