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MRT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-12 → 2024-07-18

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jul 11, 2023 🔗 www.marti.tech
💰 Market Cap: $162.1M 👥 Employees: 442
Marti Technologies Inc is a mobility app, offering multiple transportation services to its riders. Marti operates a ride-hailing service that matches riders with car, motorcycle, and taxi drivers, and operates a large fleet of rental e-mopeds, e-bikes, and e-scooters. All of Marti's offerings are serviced by proprietary software systems and IoT infrastructure.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.82%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -7.10%
Trades: 7/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.45%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -5.62%
Best: +5.88%
Worst: -15.50%
Trades: 6/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -3.11%
Avg Winner: +2.73%
Avg Loser: -7.28%
Best: +5.92%
Worst: -24.50%
Trades: 5/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.33%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -7.27%
Best: +9.36%
Worst: -27.34%
Trades: 3/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -8.42%
Avg Winner: +7.54%
Avg Loser: -15.46%
Best: +17.99%
Worst: -42.75%
Trades: 3/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.52%
Best MFE: +38.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 48 min

On average, MRT alerts reach +8.52% profit potential within 48 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.56%
Worst MAE: -9.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, MRT typically reaches +8.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.45%
Best Gap +3.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

How MRT compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MRT: -0.82% Sector: -0.02% -0.80%
EOD Gain
MRT: -8.42% Sector: +179.82% -188.25%
Avg MFE
MRT: +8.52% Sector: +5.77% +2.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-18 09:27:07 $1.83 -7.10% -7.10% -8.74% -4.92% -4.37% +3.28% -9.84% +2.19% LOSS
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $1.17 +0.85% +0.15% -0.85% -0.85% -0.85% +1.71% -1.70% +0.85% WIN
2023-07-26 09:29:00 $1.34 +0.70% +0.75% +0.61% -1.09% +0.75% +6.72% -5.22% +1.49% WIN
2023-07-24 09:27:00 $1.63 +0.61% +3.68% +1.84% -3.07% -2.45% +5.52% -0.61% +0.61% WIN
2023-07-21 09:27:00 $1.62 +0.93% -2.42% -4.32% -2.47% - +1.85% -1.23% -1.23% WIN
2023-07-20 09:27:00 $1.54 +3.90% +5.88% +5.92% +1.62% +3.90% +12.34% -3.25% -0.65% WIN
2023-07-19 09:26:00 $1.39 +0.82% +0.72% +1.44% +9.36% +17.99% +38.49% -1.44% - WIN
2023-07-18 09:28:00 $1.57 +2.41% +5.10% +3.82% +2.44% -15.92% +11.46% - +1.27% WIN
2023-07-17 09:28:00 $1.98 -3.44% -2.53% -4.55% -4.04% -16.16% +9.09% -7.58% -0.51% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:26:00 $2.3 -3.91% -2.61% -0.22% -2.83% -11.30% +8.70% -6.09% -1.74% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:25:00 $4.0 -4.75% -15.50% -24.50% -27.34% -42.75% -0.25% -4.98% -0.25% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:25:00 $5.76 -0.84% -3.56% -7.77% -18.84% -29.86% +3.30% -0.84% +3.30% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MRT Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 58.3% win rate, MRT has -0.82% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MRT profitable.

🔧 Fix MRT Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze MRT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRT historically offers an average upside of +8.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, MRT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.01%) outweigh average wins (+1.46%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MRT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.82%). This suggests MRT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.