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MSAI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-20 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. Common Stock OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES (SIC 3827)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 20, 2023 🔗 www.multisensorai.com
💰 Market Cap: $27.1M 👥 Employees: 41
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc build and deploy intelligent multi-sensing platforms incorporating edge and cloud software solutions that leverage artificial intelligence (AI). It is a provider of sensing systems built around high-resolution thermal imagers, visible and acoustic imagers, as well as vibration and laser spectroscopy sensors, that perceive and measure heat, sound, vibration, and gas in industrial assets and the surrounding environment, helping companies gain insight to protect and manage their most important assets and infrastructure. It also offers a wide range of form factors for its sensor devices, including, among other form factors, small to large handheld designs with built-in displays and controls, and fixed-mounted single- and multi-sensor camera sensor systems.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
37.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.18%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+36.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +6.88%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +8.56%
Worst: -9.70%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -4.78%
Avg Winner: +5.95%
Avg Loser: -7.46%
Best: +5.95%
Worst: -11.01%
Trades: 1/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +16.72%
Avg Winner: +87.51%
Avg Loser: -6.88%
Best: +153.92%
Worst: -13.56%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +8.48%
Avg Winner: +42.40%
Avg Loser: -11.86%
Best: +104.91%
Worst: -19.83%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -12.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -12.52%
Best: -2.93%
Worst: -44.73%
Trades: 0/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +36.11%
Best MFE: +175.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 29 min

On average, MSAI alerts reach +36.11% profit potential within 29 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.86%
Worst MAE: -9.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.86%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, MSAI typically reaches +36.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 28.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -1.20%
Best Gap +1.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES

How MSAI compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MSAI: -1.59% Sector: +0.33% -1.91%
EOD Gain
MSAI: -9.70% Sector: -0.81% -8.89%
Avg MFE
MSAI: +11.70% Sector: +7.81% +3.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSAI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:25:33 $1.8 -2.77% -3.06% -1.11% -5.28% -4.44% - -3.33% -1.11% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:27 $2.06 -1.46% -7.79% -11.52% -14.56% -15.53% +5.83% - +1.94% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:45 $3.17 +4.42% -11.01% -13.56% -13.25% -21.77% +5.05% -4.42% -0.63% WIN
2024-03-07 09:29:42 $3.75 -6.93% -8.00% -4.40% -6.40% -2.93% +33.33% -8.80% +1.07% LOSS
2023-12-26 09:27:00 $4.2 -1.19% +5.95% -0.95% +1.19% -3.81% +14.28% -4.52% -0.95% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $4.79 +8.56% - +21.11% +21.09% -3.97% +49.90% +0.63% +1.46% WIN
2023-12-21 09:27:00 $5.09 +7.66% - +153.92% +104.91% -2.95% +175.05% -9.82% - WIN
2023-12-20 09:27:00 $4.74 -9.70% - -9.70% -19.83% -44.73% +5.49% -0.63% -11.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MSAI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 37.5% win rate and -0.18% average gain, MSAI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MSAI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MSAI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSAI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSAI historically offers an average upside of +36.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSAI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, MSAI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MSAI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MSAI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.18%). This suggests MSAI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.