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MSN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-01-07 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Dec 22, 1994 🔗 www.emersonradio.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.2M 👥 Employees: 23
Emerson Radio Corp operates in the consumer electronics industry. The company designs, sources, imports, and markets a variety of houseware and consumer electronic products, and licenses the Emerson trademark domestically and internationally. The products offered by the company are televisions, digital versatile disc players and video cassette recorders, audio accessories, microwave ovens, home theatres, high-end audio products, office products, mobile stereo, and wireless products.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.12%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -3.55%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.30%
Best: -0.02%
Worst: -10.59%
Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -10.62%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -10.62%
Best: -10.52%
Worst: -10.73%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -9.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -9.52%
Best: -3.61%
Worst: -15.44%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.48%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: -1.40%
Worst: -3.55%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.43%
Best MFE: +7.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 190 min

On average, MSN alerts reach +5.43% profit potential within 190 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -9.95%
Worst MAE: -16.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 9.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.55:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, MSN typically reaches +5.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -1.64%
Best Gap +7.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOUSEHOLD AUDIO & VIDEO EQUIPMENT

How MSN compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MSN: -1.12% Sector: +1.70% -2.83%
EOD Gain
MSN: -2.48% Sector: +1.67% -4.15%
Avg MFE
MSN: +5.43% Sector: +15.03% -9.60%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:25:16 $0.56 -3.55% -10.59% -10.52% -3.61% -3.55% +3.59% -3.54% -10.50% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:27 $0.55 +1.31% -0.02% -10.73% -15.44% -1.40% +7.27% -16.36% +7.22% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MSN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.12% average gain, MSN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MSN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MSN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSN historically offers an average upside of +5.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, MSN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MSN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MSN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.12%). This suggests MSN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.