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MSOS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 125 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-25 → 2025-02-07

🏢 Company Profile

AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Sep 02, 2020
📊
125
Total Alerts
🎯
43.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.48%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +3.02%
Worst: -10.04%
Trades: 39/81

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.6%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: +6.02%
Worst: -6.15%
Trades: 47/76

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.6%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 47/76

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -2.44%
Best: +8.39%
Worst: -8.37%
Trades: 54/69

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.2%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +4.39%
Avg Loser: -3.98%
Best: +26.52%
Worst: -15.27%
Trades: 44/77

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.52%
Best MFE: +27.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, MSOS alerts reach +3.52% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.71%
Worst MAE: -7.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 125 alerts, MSOS typically reaches +3.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 125
Gap Up % 36.0%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +1.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSOS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:29:59 $3.68 -0.41% +0.00% +0.41% +1.09% -3.80% +1.90% -1.09% -0.54% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:41 $3.78 -0.40% -0.47% -2.36% -0.93% -2.12% +0.53% -0.49% - LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:45 $3.66 -0.69% +2.60% +1.91% +1.67% +1.91% +4.51% -1.64% -0.27% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:17 $3.39 +0.51% +0.59% +0.74% +1.33% +3.24% +4.91% +0.29% +1.18% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:07 $3.44 -0.87% -1.02% -1.16% -0.73% -1.16% +0.58% -2.03% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:55 $3.5 -0.57% -0.71% -1.57% -1.57% -2.00% +0.43% -0.28% +0.29% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:14 $3.61 -0.83% -0.97% +0.14% -1.66% -2.22% +0.28% -1.38% -0.83% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:41 $3.5 -1.00% -1.29% -1.00% +0.86% -2.29% +0.86% -1.43% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:44 $3.89 +1.54% +1.80% +3.84% +2.83% +4.88% +6.04% -0.77% +0.26% WIN
2024-12-12 09:28:14 $3.87 -1.29% -2.72% -2.33% -3.49% -6.98% +0.52% -1.29% +0.52% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:28:20 $4.6 +0.11% -0.65% -1.20% -1.30% +1.52% +1.85% -1.96% -1.30% WIN
2024-11-22 09:27:20 $4.53 +0.66% +1.55% -0.88% -1.99% -1.77% +2.54% -0.11% +0.88% WIN
2024-11-18 09:29:18 $4.93 +0.81% +1.81% +3.45% +3.35% -0.41% +5.07% -0.41% -0.20% WIN
2024-11-15 09:27:14 $4.83 +0.42% +0.10% +0.21% +1.86% +4.76% +4.97% -0.83% +0.41% WIN
2024-11-14 09:28:13 $5.0 +2.38% +4.00% +1.20% +0.10% -2.00% +5.00% - +1.00% WIN
2024-11-13 09:28:57 $4.78 -2.09% -2.30% -3.35% -1.88% +8.58% +11.30% -7.11% -0.21% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:01 $4.78 +0.10% -1.57% -5.13% -8.37% -15.27% +2.30% - +0.42% WIN
2024-11-07 09:29:08 $5.16 -1.65% -0.87% - -2.23% +1.16% +3.29% -3.30% -1.16% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:26:03 $5.53 -10.04% -6.15% -6.21% -6.96% -10.13% +0.90% -1.08% -0.72% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:27:49 $7.02 +1.85% +1.89% +2.64% +0.30% +2.28% +2.98% - +0.43% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MSOS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.2% win rate and -0.48% average gain, MSOS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MSOS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MSOS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSOS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSOS historically offers an average upside of +3.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MSOS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.2%, MSOS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MSOS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MSOS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.48%). This suggests MSOS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.