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Ticker Report β€” Active Last signal Β·

$MSTX

Trade-Ideas alert history 112 alerts 2024-08-16 β†’ 2025-02-14

🏒 Company Profile

Tidal Trust II Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF
πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Aug 14, 2024
Total alerts
112
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· 30MIN
58.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· 30MIN
+0.26%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+7.43%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MSTX on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable MSTX setups

Historical MSTX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -2.03%
Best: +5.77%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 52/60

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +8.90%
Worst: -13.16%
Trades: 53/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.33%
Avg Loser: -4.00%
Best: +9.35%
Worst: -17.75%
Trades: 65/47

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +4.47%
Avg Loser: -4.61%
Best: +15.19%
Worst: -26.81%
Trades: 55/57

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +8.93%
Avg Loser: -7.83%
Best: +27.37%
Worst: -45.10%
Trades: 48/64

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.43%
Best MFE: +33.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, MSTX alerts reach +7.43% profit potential within 161 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.88%
Worst MAE: -13.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.88%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 112 alerts, MSTX typically reaches +7.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 112
Gap Up % 33.9%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.07%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical MSTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:58 $40.3 -0.56% +0.71% +1.81% -0.20% +7.32% +11.59% -0.99% -0.37% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:04 $40.26 -0.92% -1.16% -0.52% +1.24% -0.25% +3.20% -2.38% +0.50% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:35 $38.04 +1.20% +2.39% +3.36% +1.95% +7.02% +9.65% -0.95% -0.21% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:50 $42.58 -0.85% -1.32% +1.27% -0.95% -8.67% +2.79% -2.61% -0.35% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:59 $42.94 +2.68% +0.72% -0.23% -0.62% -0.26% +3.31% -1.30% -0.68% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:50 $42.94 +3.49% +4.12% +1.98% -0.45% -4.26% +5.38% -2.28% +0.26% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:01 $44.1 -0.73% -4.99% -2.72% -1.08% -7.53% +3.31% -3.74% -0.29% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:29 $47.09 +1.30% -1.91% -2.74% -2.21% -7.60% +1.79% -0.28% -0.28% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:52 $45.1 +3.66% +4.76% +4.80% +3.39% +3.61% +6.91% -0.73% -0.62% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:17 $37.0 +4.37% +8.65% +6.55% +11.27% +25.54% +27.16% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:05 $45.1 -0.65% -2.77% -1.29% +0.78% -3.75% +6.85% -4.03% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:16 $46.51 +1.18% +2.60% +5.67% +0.82% -3.23% +5.85% -0.56% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:09 $44.49 +1.44% -0.72% -0.54% -1.69% +1.71% +3.30% -5.10% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:04 $46.34 -0.80% -3.88% -0.50% -0.58% -5.11% +2.40% -1.06% +0.30% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:59 $44.99 +0.16% -0.09% +6.91% +4.58% +5.07% +10.45% -1.29% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:27 $55.91 -2.36% -1.43% -3.75% -3.01% -12.63% +0.09% -2.67% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:51 $54.2 +5.77% +6.27% +6.77% +6.08% +0.83% +10.33% -0.68% -0.04% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:34 $58.0 +0.09% +0.16% -0.17% -1.64% -3.72% +3.31% -3.43% +0.07% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:03 $61.5 -3.85% -8.21% -8.67% -11.07% -3.02% +4.72% -13.92% -0.16% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:43 $57.97 -0.13% +1.63% +4.09% +2.17% +6.80% +7.86% -1.19% +0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 58.0% Baseline on MSTX

The 58.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MSTX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MSTX Strategy β†’

Why Analyze MSTX with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MSTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MSTX historically offers an average upside of +7.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š MSTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.0%, MSTX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MSTX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.