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MT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 211 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

ArcelorMittal
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 07, 1997 🔗 www.arcelormittal.com
💰 Market Cap: $40.78B 👥 Employees: 125,416
ArcelorMittal SA is involved in the steel industry. The company's operating segments include North America, Brazil, Europe, India and JVs, Sustainable Solutions, Mining and Other . It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment. Europe segment produces hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, coated products, tinplate, plate, and slab. These products are sold to customers in the automotive, general, and packaging sectors as well as also produce long products consisting of sections, wire rods, rebar, billets, blooms and wire drawing, and tubular products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from United States.
📊
211
Total Alerts
🎯
55.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -0.83%
Trades: 111/89

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.96%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 116/91

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.7%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +2.16%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 117/93

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +3.51%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 107/100

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +5.13%
Worst: -6.26%
Trades: 109/101

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.38%
Best MFE: +5.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 168 min

On average, MT alerts reach +1.38% profit potential within 168 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 211 alerts, MT typically reaches +1.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 211
Gap Up % 46.9%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:49 $28.48 -0.25% +0.32% +0.63% +0.77% +0.81% +1.95% -0.42% -0.14% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:18 $27.66 +0.29% +0.52% +0.72% +0.85% +1.66% +2.06% -0.14% +0.11% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:43 $27.35 +0.37% +1.32% +2.16% +3.51% +3.58% +5.45% +0.04% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:24 $24.86 -0.08% -0.28% -0.46% -0.48% -0.32% +0.04% -0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:48 $22.42 -0.18% -0.18% -0.02% +0.02% +0.09% +0.40% -0.36% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:29:57 $22.48 -0.62% -1.11% -1.33% -1.53% -1.29% +0.04% -0.18% -0.09% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:27:39 $25.04 +0.52% +0.20% +0.18% +0.78% -0.72% +0.96% -0.02% +0.12% WIN
2024-11-07 09:28:58 $26.55 +0.45% +0.72% +0.53% +0.72% -0.15% +1.26% -0.60% -0.08% WIN
2024-10-21 09:25:49 $24.25 -0.45% -0.37% -0.33% -0.87% -1.61% +0.16% -0.33% +0.04% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:25:37 $21.89 - -0.05% +0.30% -0.30% -1.78% +0.41% -0.27% -0.09% -
2024-06-24 09:27:10 $23.92 +0.25% +0.46% +0.59% +0.15% -1.05% +0.67% +0.04% +0.08% WIN
2024-06-20 09:28:31 $23.8 +0.46% +0.29% +0.23% +0.42% +0.84% +1.26% -0.02% +0.21% WIN
2024-06-06 09:26:36 $25.31 +0.06% +0.55% +0.87% +0.75% +2.02% +2.05% -0.02% +0.12% WIN
2024-06-05 09:28:20 $25.48 +0.18% +0.18% -0.24% -0.59% +0.08% +0.35% -0.04% -0.04% WIN
2024-05-20 09:25:24 $26.4 -0.08% -0.64% -0.32% -0.61% -1.06% -0.08% -0.27% -0.19% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:28:43 $26.33 -0.46% -0.19% -0.23% -0.40% -0.42% +0.15% -0.65% -0.04% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:47 $25.01 +0.36% +0.24% +0.58% +0.98% +0.24% +2.22% -0.06% +0.14% WIN
2024-04-17 09:27:40 $25.33 -0.12% -0.06% -0.34% -0.75% -0.87% +0.22% -0.45% +0.12% LOSS
2024-04-16 09:27:12 $25.31 +0.16% -0.55% -0.41% -0.79% -0.51% +0.36% +0.24% +0.16% WIN
2024-04-03 09:28:20 $27.6 +0.21% +0.29% +0.22% +0.14% +0.47% +0.83% -0.16% -0.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.7% Baseline on MT

The 55.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MT Strategy →

Why Analyze MT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MT historically offers an average upside of +1.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.7%, MT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MT performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.