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MTB Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2023-04-17
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MTB alerts reach +2.17% profit potential within 161 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.98x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, MTB typically reaches +2.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
How MTB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MTB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-17 | 09:27:00 | $116.5 | -1.10% | -0.92% | +0.63% | +1.12% | +7.86% | +7.97% | -1.82% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:25:00 | $155.45 | -0.51% | -0.06% | -0.35% | -0.17% | -0.80% | +0.35% | -0.83% | +0.35% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:28:00 | $159.92 | -0.27% | -0.48% | -0.78% | -0.96% | -2.80% | -0.10% | -0.78% | -0.48% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-07 | 09:25:00 | $150.5 | -2.99% | -2.21% | -2.69% | -3.42% | -1.68% | +1.00% | -0.01% | -1.16% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $171.8 | -0.76% | -1.48% | -1.77% | -1.20% | +1.28% | +1.64% | -2.21% | -0.62% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-11 | 09:25:00 | $182.36 | -0.33% | -0.48% | +0.68% | +1.22% | -0.03% | +2.27% | -0.78% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-10 | 09:25:00 | $183.9 | +0.22% | +0.98% | +0.72% | +1.36% | -0.43% | +1.66% | -0.23% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $180.48 | +1.40% | +1.02% | +1.36% | +1.63% | +2.11% | +2.55% | +0.85% | +1.48% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MTB Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.28% average gain, MTB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MTB for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MTB with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTB historically offers an average upside of +2.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MTB Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, MTB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MTB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MTB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.28%). This suggests MTB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.