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MTDR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2024-03-26

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 02, 2012 🔗 www.matadorresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.34B 👥 Employees: 452
Matador Resources Co is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources. The majority of the company's assets are located in the United States, with an emphasis on oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. Along with maintaining a portfolio of oil and natural gas properties, Matador works to identify and develop midstream opportunities that support and enhance its exploration and development business. The Company has two reportable business segments: exploration and production and midstream.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.63%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.63%
Avg Winner: +2.63%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.32%
Worst: +0.93%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.79%
Avg Winner: +5.96%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +5.96%
Worst: -0.38%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +3.52%
Avg Winner: +7.31%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +7.31%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +3.70%
Avg Winner: +8.12%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +8.12%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.37%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -2.02%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.01%
Best MFE: +8.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 24 min

On average, MTDR alerts reach +5.01% profit potential within 24 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.02%
Worst MAE: -0.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

254.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 254.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, MTDR typically reaches +5.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.27%
Best Gap +0.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How MTDR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MTDR: +2.63% Sector: -0.16% +2.78%
EOD Gain
MTDR: +0.18% Sector: +59.69% -59.52%
Avg MFE
MTDR: +5.01% Sector: +2.88% +2.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MTDR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-26 09:25:34 $66.45 +0.93% -0.38% -0.27% -0.72% -2.02% +1.14% -0.23% -0.08% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $52.81 +4.32% +5.96% +7.31% +8.12% +2.37% +8.88% +0.27% +0.62% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MTDR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MTDR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MTDR Strategy →

Why Analyze MTDR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTDR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTDR historically offers an average upside of +5.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MTDR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MTDR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MTDR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.