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MTN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-17 → 2023-06-20
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MTN alerts reach -0.39% profit potential within 9 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.38%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, MTN typically reaches -0.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
How MTN compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MTN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-20 | 09:28:00 | $248.47 | -0.46% | - | -0.57% | -0.16% | -0.93% | +0.09% | -0.54% | -0.54% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-24 | 09:25:00 | $227.71 | -5.72% | -5.79% | -6.06% | -7.48% | -5.53% | -4.98% | -6.44% | -5.97% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-13 | 09:25:00 | $244.0 | -0.93% | -2.70% | -2.83% | -5.23% | -6.49% | +0.16% | -0.93% | -0.65% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-17 | 09:25:00 | $231.36 | +2.40% | +2.61% | +2.44% | +1.80% | +1.67% | +3.16% | +2.40% | +2.40% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MTN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 33.3% win rate and -1.96% average gain, MTN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MTN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MTN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTN historically offers an average upside of -0.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MTN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, MTN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MTN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MTN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.96%). This suggests MTN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.