Latest signal:
MUR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-28 → 2023-07-05
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MUR alerts reach +0.44% profit potential within 108 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.88%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, MUR typically reaches +0.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How MUR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MUR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-05 | 09:25:00 | $38.23 | -0.21% | -0.97% | -0.78% | -0.75% | -0.84% | +0.37% | -0.37% | +0.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-12 | 09:29:00 | $42.68 | -1.55% | -2.32% | -1.78% | -0.91% | -1.83% | +0.59% | -2.48% | -1.36% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-11 | 09:28:00 | $41.99 | +0.70% | -0.15% | -0.45% | -0.99% | -0.88% | +1.60% | -0.07% | +0.91% | WIN |
| 2023-01-09 | 09:25:00 | $42.5 | -0.19% | -0.21% | +0.02% | -0.66% | -1.41% | +0.29% | -0.75% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-28 | 09:25:00 | $45.85 | -1.31% | -0.67% | -0.70% | -0.22% | -1.05% | +1.19% | -2.44% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-23 | 09:25:00 | $48.02 | -3.21% | -2.05% | -2.04% | -1.87% | -1.19% | -0.87% | -3.25% | -2.14% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-21 | 09:25:00 | $46.5 | -1.58% | -3.87% | -3.46% | -4.45% | -0.99% | -0.62% | -5.78% | -2.15% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-15 | 09:25:00 | $50.0 | -1.54% | -2.90% | -2.62% | -1.52% | -1.06% | -0.10% | -3.36% | -1.40% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-28 | 09:25:00 | $40.18 | -0.32% | -2.96% | -4.16% | -2.66% | -1.74% | +1.57% | +1.57% | +0.15% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MUR Shows Negative Expectancy
With 11.1% win rate and -1.02% average gain, MUR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MUR for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MUR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MUR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MUR historically offers an average upside of +0.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MUR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 11.1%, MUR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MUR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MUR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.02%). This suggests MUR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.