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MXC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2022-03-08

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mexco Energy Corporation CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Feb 01, 1995 🔗 www.mexcoenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.9M 👥 Employees: 5
Mexco Energy Corporation is an independent oil and gas company. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil properties located in the United States. The company carried out its operation in the Permian Basin of West Texas. It is focusing on two primary areas, the Delaware Basin located in the Western portion of the Permian Basin including Lea and Eddy Counties, New Mexico and Loving County, Texas, and the Midland Basin located in the Eastern portion of the Permian Basin including Reagan, Upton, Midland, Martin, Howard, and Glasscock Counties, Texas. The company generates revenue from Oil sales, Natural gas sales, oil and gas royalty interests.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.36%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+26.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.66%
Avg Loser: -6.41%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -6.41%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -9.10%
Best: +8.82%
Worst: -9.10%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -6.88%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -10.88%
Best: +1.12%
Worst: -15.71%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -10.18%
Avg Winner: +7.76%
Avg Loser: -19.15%
Best: +7.76%
Worst: -29.48%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.65%
Avg Winner: +25.92%
Avg Loser: -16.93%
Best: +25.92%
Worst: -26.66%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +26.95%
Best MFE: +78.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, MXC alerts reach +26.95% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.63%
Worst MAE: -8.71%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MXC typically reaches +26.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 21.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +2.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How MXC compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MXC: -0.36% Sector: -0.16% -0.20%
EOD Gain
MXC: -2.65% Sector: +59.69% -62.34%
Avg MFE
MXC: +26.95% Sector: +2.88% +24.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MXC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $35.45 +1.72% +1.55% -15.71% -29.48% -26.66% +5.78% -7.76% +0.34% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $24.11 +3.61% +8.82% +1.12% +7.76% +25.92% +78.35% -8.71% +2.70% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $13.73 -6.41% -9.10% -6.04% -8.81% -7.21% -3.28% -6.41% -3.28% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MXC Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, MXC has -0.36% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MXC profitable.

🔧 Fix MXC Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze MXC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MXC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MXC historically offers an average upside of +26.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MXC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, MXC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.41%) outweigh average wins (+2.66%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MXC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.36%). This suggests MXC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.