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NAK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 142 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

Northern Dynasty Minerals, Ltd.
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Mar 30, 2001 🔗 www.northerndynastyminerals.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.33B 👥 Employees: 12
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd is a mineral exploration company. It has a single operating segment of acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. Its core asset is the Pebble Project located in Alaska, USA. The Pebble project is seeking to develop a deposit of copper, gold, molybdenum, and silver into a modern mining operation.
📊
142
Total Alerts
🎯
47.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +5.25%
Worst: -6.88%
Trades: 58/81

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.9%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +6.27%
Worst: -7.19%
Trades: 52/86

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +8.35%
Worst: -9.34%
Trades: 59/81

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +11.76%
Worst: -8.54%
Trades: 61/79

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +4.01%
Avg Loser: -3.71%
Best: +19.66%
Worst: -11.19%
Trades: 68/72

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.72%
Best MFE: +31.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 95 min

On average, NAK alerts reach +3.72% profit potential within 95 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.68%
Worst MAE: -10.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 142 alerts, NAK typically reaches +3.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 142
Gap Up % 43.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +8.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:27:38 $0.72 -0.74% -2.86% -2.11% -4.13% -2.07% +0.99% -0.61% +0.99% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:42 $0.77 -0.94% -2.65% -3.86% -3.84% -7.27% +1.04% -1.62% +0.74% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:42 $0.75 +1.73% +0.97% +2.31% +0.93% +0.90% +2.43% -0.32% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:23 $0.75 -1.07% -0.54% +1.17% -1.43% -0.80% +1.53% -1.22% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:18 $0.72 +1.18% +2.01% +0.97% +1.39% +1.90% +2.32% +0.32% +0.86% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:47 $0.62 +0.02% -0.81% +1.02% +3.16% +6.42% +10.10% -1.52% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:39 $0.71 -3.52% -4.23% -2.77% -2.78% -4.23% +1.41% - +1.41% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:16 $0.75 -1.20% -1.22% -0.20% +2.71% -3.89% +3.83% -2.44% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:44 $0.69 -1.36% -0.99% -1.07% +1.97% +5.89% +8.05% -2.29% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:51 $0.68 -0.79% -2.29% -1.00% -0.92% -0.75% +1.61% -3.27% -0.44% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:49 $0.73 -2.63% -4.79% -8.51% -8.54% -7.99% - -0.10% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:46 $0.65 +0.78% +0.03% -0.51% -0.62% -2.33% +0.96% +0.28% +0.60% WIN
2025-01-14 09:29:52 $0.66 -1.18% -1.51% -3.48% -0.44% -2.54% +1.41% -4.62% +1.14% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:36 $0.64 -3.80% -2.89% -5.11% -5.23% +3.48% +5.49% -6.89% -1.47% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:53 $0.67 -1.90% -3.51% -4.36% -6.69% -8.79% -0.30% -3.73% -3.52% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:14 $0.63 -1.16% -3.34% -5.72% -5.97% +2.42% +2.61% -10.95% -1.12% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:40 $0.7 -1.96% -2.86% -3.96% -7.14% -11.19% -0.01% -1.43% -1.43% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:41 $0.73 -2.74% -2.74% -2.77% -2.74% -7.73% +0.68% -2.74% +0.68% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:36 $0.69 -2.03% +5.78% +6.96% +4.10% -0.20% +8.70% -2.61% - LOSS
2025-01-02 09:26:11 $0.6 -0.55% +5.32% +4.02% +6.22% +12.79% +13.95% -0.65% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.9% Baseline on NAK

The 47.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NAK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NAK Strategy →

Why Analyze NAK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAK historically offers an average upside of +3.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.9%, NAK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NAK performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.