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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$NAK

Trade-Ideas alerts 45.6% at EOD n=226 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Northern Dynasty Minerals, Ltd.
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Mar 30, 2001 🔗 www.northerndynastyminerals.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.22B 👥 Employees: 12
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd is a mineral exploration company. It has a single operating segment of acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. Its core asset is the Pebble Project located in Alaska, USA. The Pebble project is seeking to develop a deposit of copper, gold, molybdenum, and silver into a modern mining operation.
Total alerts
226
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
45.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.60%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NAK on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.6%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +5.25%
Worst: -6.88%
Trades: 85/134

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.7%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +1.98%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +11.44%
Worst: -7.19%
Trades: 87/135

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +14.57%
Worst: -9.34%
Trades: 90/133

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +2.73%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +15.17%
Worst: -10.56%
Trades: 92/130

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +19.66%
Worst: -14.35%
Trades: 103/119

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.60%
Best MFE: +31.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, NAK alerts reach +3.60% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.69%
Worst MAE: -10.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 226 alerts, NAK typically reaches +3.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 226
Gap Up % 38.5%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +8.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $1.37 -1.68% -1.22% -0.66% -1.32% -3.14% -0.23% -3.14% -1.68% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $1.5 -0.33% -0.33% +1.08% +0.33% -8.67% +1.67% -2.00% +0.67% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $1.52 -2.05% -2.96% -2.63% -2.95% -4.61% -0.66% -2.63% -1.32% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $1.39 -2.94% -2.58% -0.05% +2.11% +5.36% +6.44% -4.02% -0.41% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $1.43 -2.74% -2.39% -2.74% -3.44% -0.64% +0.06% -2.74% -1.34% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $1.48 -2.70% -4.74% -5.74% -6.42% -4.73% +0.00% -4.05% -1.35% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $1.46 -3.77% -5.14% -5.14% -5.14% -0.68% +1.37% +0.00% -2.05% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $1.41 -2.12% -3.28% -4.61% -4.26% -1.42% +0.00% -0.01% -0.71% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $1.27 +0.79% -0.22% -0.79% +0.39% +3.15% +4.72% -1.50% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $1.28 -0.67% -1.06% -1.06% -3.41% -3.02% +0.11% -1.43% -0.67% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $1.41 -1.43% -2.48% -2.17% -2.48% -1.42% +1.42% -2.84% -1.42% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $1.5 -3.33% -2.67% -3.67% -2.67% -2.67% +0.00% -3.33% -0.67% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $1.51 -0.01% +1.99% +3.64% +3.94% +0.00% +4.64% -1.99% -1.32% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $1.61 -0.31% -1.25% -2.17% -2.79% -6.21% +0.62% -0.31% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $1.62 +1.85% +1.54% -0.93% -0.93% -3.70% +2.47% -0.51% +0.00% WIN
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $1.69 +0.65% +3.85% +3.55% +2.37% +2.96% +4.73% -0.59% -0.59% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $1.66 +0.58% -0.64% -1.52% -2.28% -0.02% +1.19% +0.00% +1.19% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $1.63 -0.61% -1.29% -1.16% -0.31% -1.23% +1.84% -1.84% -0.61% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $1.72 +0.58% -0.58% -2.03% -1.45% -1.16% +2.91% +0.00% +0.58% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $1.6 +0.00% +1.88% +3.12% +6.56% +5.62% +7.43% +0.00% +1.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NAK Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.6% win rate and -0.27% average gain, NAK alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NAK for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NAK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAK historically offers an average upside of +3.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.6%, NAK shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NAK may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NAK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.27%). This suggests NAK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.