$NAT
Trade-Ideas alerts 47.4% at EOD n=116 2022-01-31 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading NAT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NAT alerts reach +3.26% profit potential within 118 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.64%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 116 alerts, NAT typically reaches +3.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $8.1 | -0.37% | +0.37% | +1.28% | +0.99% | +3.95% | +4.01% | -0.37% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $7.84 | -1.15% | -2.93% | -0.51% | -1.15% | -2.30% | +0.00% | -0.64% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $7.53 | -0.31% | -1.99% | -2.32% | -1.39% | +1.33% | +2.26% | -3.05% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $7.4 | -1.35% | -2.43% | -1.96% | -2.77% | -3.51% | +0.14% | -0.54% | -1.08% | LOSS |
| 2026-08-19 | 09:25:00 | $7.01 | +0.71% | +0.43% | -0.14% | -0.36% | +0.14% | +1.28% | -0.43% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2026-07-30 | 09:25:00 | $6.4 | -0.39% | +1.25% | +1.72% | +3.36% | +4.06% | +4.53% | -0.78% | +0.78% | LOSS |
| 2026-06-15 | 09:25:00 | $5.45 | +0.55% | +0.37% | -0.46% | -2.29% | -0.18% | +1.72% | -0.73% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2026-05-29 | 09:25:00 | $5.13 | -0.36% | -0.97% | -0.88% | -0.49% | +0.39% | +0.78% | -1.36% | +0.58% | LOSS |
| 2026-05-28 | 09:25:00 | $5.39 | +0.22% | -2.38% | -2.65% | -4.62% | -6.46% | +1.15% | -0.19% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2026-04-24 | 09:25:00 | $5.34 | +0.24% | +0.19% | +1.12% | +2.06% | +3.75% | +3.75% | -0.75% | +0.75% | WIN |
| 2026-04-08 | 09:25:00 | $5.72 | -2.93% | +0.00% | -0.26% | +3.41% | +4.72% | +5.07% | -4.37% | -2.97% | LOSS |
| 2026-04-06 | 09:25:00 | $6.18 | -0.97% | -0.32% | -0.16% | -0.08% | +0.00% | +0.81% | -2.55% | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-30 | 09:25:00 | $5.64 | -1.06% | -2.31% | -0.62% | +0.44% | +1.24% | +2.13% | -2.84% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-23 | 09:25:00 | $5.35 | -0.37% | +1.22% | +0.37% | +2.34% | +2.24% | +2.80% | -2.43% | -2.43% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-16 | 09:25:00 | $5.24 | +2.49% | +1.06% | +1.34% | +0.01% | +1.15% | +3.44% | +0.01% | +1.91% | WIN |
| 2026-03-09 | 09:25:00 | $5.66 | -1.06% | +0.35% | +0.16% | +0.71% | -0.53% | +2.10% | -1.41% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2026-03-04 | 09:25:00 | $5.45 | +2.21% | +2.61% | +2.22% | +4.56% | +6.07% | +6.44% | -0.72% | +1.30% | WIN |
| 2026-03-03 | 09:25:00 | $5.67 | +1.53% | +0.44% | -1.41% | -0.44% | +1.94% | +4.23% | -2.82% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2026-03-02 | 09:25:00 | $6.24 | +0.96% | -3.69% | -4.67% | -5.45% | -4.49% | +1.76% | -0.64% | +1.60% | WIN |
| 2026-02-26 | 09:25:00 | $4.85 | +0.62% | +2.68% | +6.29% | +7.11% | +11.34% | +11.86% | -1.44% | +0.00% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ NAT Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.4% win rate and -0.29% average gain, NAT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NAT for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NAT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAT historically offers an average upside of +3.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NAT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, NAT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NAT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.29%). This suggests NAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.