Latest signal:
NAT Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 95 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-31 → 2025-01-13
⚠️ Small sample size (95 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NAT alerts reach +3.28% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 95 alerts, NAT typically reaches +3.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | 09:29:18 | $2.96 | -1.71% | +0.64% | +0.84% | +0.17% | +1.35% | +2.03% | -2.03% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:27:31 | $2.81 | +1.07% | +1.42% | +1.60% | +2.14% | +2.85% | +3.56% | -0.18% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2024-10-28 | 09:28:09 | $3.35 | -1.19% | -1.64% | -1.19% | -1.04% | - | +0.30% | -1.79% | -0.90% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-23 | 09:27:22 | $3.46 | -1.59% | -1.62% | -1.16% | -1.88% | -2.89% | -0.29% | -1.45% | -0.58% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:26:00 | $3.59 | +0.26% | +0.14% | -0.28% | -0.28% | -1.39% | +0.56% | -0.28% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:26:45 | $3.42 | -2.05% | -0.88% | - | +1.02% | +1.75% | +2.34% | -3.22% | -0.58% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-29 | 09:29:27 | $4.03 | +1.73% | +1.73% | -1.12% | -1.61% | -4.22% | +2.98% | - | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2024-03-19 | 09:25:11 | $3.96 | +0.38% | -0.76% | -0.63% | - | -2.02% | +0.51% | -0.76% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:29:26 | $4.05 | +0.97% | +0.25% | +0.49% | - | +0.25% | +1.23% | -0.25% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-02-29 | 09:26:22 | $4.11 | - | -0.97% | - | +0.24% | -0.97% | +1.46% | -2.68% | - | - |
| 2024-02-27 | 09:26:14 | $4.11 | -1.95% | -1.37% | -1.22% | -1.34% | -0.73% | -0.12% | -2.68% | -1.46% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-22 | 09:26:00 | $4.42 | +1.48% | +2.38% | +2.26% | +2.02% | +2.71% | +2.94% | -0.23% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2023-12-20 | 09:28:00 | $4.37 | +0.57% | -0.46% | +0.23% | -0.66% | -1.37% | +0.69% | -1.14% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:29:00 | $4.36 | +0.11% | -2.41% | -2.75% | -2.75% | -3.67% | +1.38% | -1.38% | -0.46% | WIN |
| 2023-12-07 | 09:28:00 | $3.95 | -1.02% | -1.14% | -1.55% | -2.08% | -0.76% | -0.25% | -0.76% | -0.51% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:27:00 | $4.31 | -4.83% | -4.87% | -8.24% | -6.26% | -9.05% | - | -0.23% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-22 | 09:26:00 | $4.36 | - | +0.23% | +0.34% | +0.57% | +1.38% | +1.83% | -0.57% | - | - |
| 2023-09-13 | 09:29:00 | $3.74 | +0.26% | +0.40% | +0.80% | +1.34% | -1.07% | +2.14% | - | +0.27% | WIN |
| 2023-09-05 | 09:27:00 | $3.91 | -1.92% | -1.92% | -1.92% | -2.69% | -2.56% | +0.51% | -1.28% | +0.26% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-28 | 09:29:00 | $4.2 | -0.48% | +2.38% | +1.31% | +0.83% | -5.48% | +2.86% | -1.67% | -1.43% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ NAT Shows Negative Expectancy
With 44.2% win rate and -0.52% average gain, NAT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NAT for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze NAT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAT historically offers an average upside of +3.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NAT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 44.2%, NAT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NAT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: NAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.52%). This suggests NAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.