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Latest signal:

NAVB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 99 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-19 → 2023-10-11

⚠️ Small sample size (99 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

NAVIDEA BIOPHARMS INC
📍 OTC Link
NAVIDEA BIOPHARMS INC
📊
99
Total Alerts
🎯
41.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.42%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +2.16%
Avg Loser: -2.35%
Best: +10.84%
Worst: -12.22%
Trades: 40/54

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +2.73%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +29.11%
Worst: -9.42%
Trades: 30/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 26.8%
Avg Gain: -1.75%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -3.42%
Best: +19.53%
Worst: -11.13%
Trades: 26/71

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.8%
Avg Gain: -2.09%
Avg Winner: +3.01%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: +11.41%
Worst: -16.88%
Trades: 28/64

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +5.56%
Avg Loser: -5.89%
Best: +27.32%
Worst: -19.35%
Trades: 40/58

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.11%
Best MFE: +61.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, NAVB alerts reach +6.11% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.01%
Worst MAE: -13.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.52:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 97 alerts, NAVB typically reaches +6.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 97
Gap Up % 48.5%
Avg Gap -0.48%
Best Gap +6.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAVB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-11 09:27:00 $0.03 - - - - +25.40% - - - -
2023-10-10 09:27:00 $0.03 - - - - -7.08% - - - -
2023-10-05 09:28:00 $0.08 -0.63% -1.76% -2.02% -2.02% -1.89% +0.76% -3.78% +0.76% LOSS
2023-10-03 09:28:00 $0.09 - -4.57% -3.33% -5.17% -4.11% - -0.67% -0.67% -
2023-10-02 09:26:00 $0.09 -3.70% -0.44% -2.13% -3.70% -0.98% +0.11% +0.11% -5.01% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:29:00 $0.09 -0.95% -1.69% -0.74% - -5.08% +2.65% - +2.65% LOSS
2023-09-28 09:29:00 $0.1 -0.93% -1.86% -0.62% -3.82% -3.92% +0.10% -1.86% -1.86% LOSS
2023-09-27 09:29:00 $0.09 +1.33% +4.66% +2.00% +3.55% +8.65% +9.53% -1.11% +4.21% WIN
2023-09-26 09:25:00 $0.09 +2.95% +2.18% +0.33% +0.33% -1.42% +6.01% - +6.01% WIN
2023-09-25 09:27:00 $0.09 +2.80% +0.42% -0.63% +0.85% -2.33% +3.59% -0.63% -0.63% WIN
2023-09-22 09:27:00 $0.1 -0.21% -2.60% -3.65% -3.54% +0.42% +1.15% -4.48% -3.85% LOSS
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $0.1 -2.30% -0.80% -3.00% -4.90% -5.10% +5.30% -2.30% +5.30% LOSS
2023-09-20 09:27:00 $0.11 +3.67% -2.75% -2.75% -8.17% -8.35% +3.67% -2.75% -2.75% WIN
2023-09-19 09:29:00 $0.12 - -4.58% -6.36% -16.88% -16.12% +2.21% -9.67% -9.67% -
2023-09-18 09:29:00 $0.11 -2.93% -0.85% -5.58% -2.46% -12.68% +2.55% -9.41% -0.66% LOSS
2023-09-15 09:29:00 $0.11 +1.24% +6.57% +2.49% +10.57% +0.27% +11.90% -9.32% +1.24% WIN
2023-09-14 09:26:00 $0.14 -2.74% +0.65% -1.44% -8.42% -13.61% +4.39% -10.01% -0.29% LOSS
2023-09-13 09:29:00 $0.1 -2.94% -0.52% +5.24% +10.17% +21.59% +25.79% -4.61% -4.61% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:28:00 $0.09 -2.04% -5.67% -3.64% +0.37% -0.86% +5.78% -6.85% -1.50% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:26:00 $0.09 +3.89% +2.33% +0.11% +0.11% +1.78% +5.56% -4.11% +3.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NAVB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.2% win rate and -0.42% average gain, NAVB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NAVB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NAVB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAVB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAVB historically offers an average upside of +6.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAVB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.2%, NAVB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NAVB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NAVB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.42%). This suggests NAVB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.