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NAVI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2022-03-31

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 17, 2014 🔗 www.navient.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.18B 👥 Employees: 2,100
Navient Corp provides technology-enabled education finance solutions that simplify complex programs and help millions of people achieve success. The company operates its business in three segments: Federal Education Loans, Consumer Lending, and Business Processing. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Federal Education Loans segment, in which the company owns and manages the Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans, generating revenue mainly in the form of net interest income. The Consumer Lending segment owns and manages private education loans and is the master servicer for these portfolios. Through its Earnest brand, the company also refinances and originates in-school private educational loans.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.56%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: +0.53%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: +0.57%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.40%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: +1.14%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: +0.41%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -1.00%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +2.36%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, NAVI alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.01%
Worst MAE: -0.06%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

313.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 313.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, NAVI typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.41%
Best Gap +0.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

How NAVI compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NAVI: +0.56% Sector: -0.16% +0.72%
EOD Gain
NAVI: -0.15% Sector: +0.18% -0.32%
Avg MFE
NAVI: +2.12% Sector: +2.77% -0.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NAVI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $16.92 +0.53% +1.60% +1.65% +0.41% +0.71% +2.36% -0.06% +0.12% WIN
2022-01-05 09:25:00 $21.92 +0.59% +0.57% +1.14% +1.32% -1.00% +1.87% +0.05% +0.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on NAVI

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NAVI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NAVI Strategy →

Why Analyze NAVI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NAVI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NAVI historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NAVI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, NAVI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NAVI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.