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NDAQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 2002 🔗 www.nasdaq.com
💰 Market Cap: $55.99B 👥 Employees: 9,625
Founded in 1971, Nasdaq is primarily known for its equity exchange, but in addition to its trading business (about 22.5% of sales), the company sells market and financial data to investors, offers Nasdaq-branded indexes, and lists companies through its capital access segment (42.5%). Nasdaq's newest segment, financial technology, was primarily constructed through the acquisitions of Verafin and Adenza and has expanded the company into capital management, financial crime, and regulatory compliance software (35%) as it seeks to become a diversified technology company.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
45.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.04%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.2%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.00%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 7/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 11/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.39%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 10/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 7/17

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -5.98%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -9.99%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: -67.64%
Trades: 9/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.89%
Best MFE: +2.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, NDAQ alerts reach +0.89% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -1.65%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.68:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, NDAQ typically reaches +0.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES

How NDAQ compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NDAQ: -0.13% Sector: +0.12% -0.25%
EOD Gain
NDAQ: -5.98% Sector: +56.70% -62.68%
Avg MFE
NDAQ: +0.89% Sector: +1.84% -0.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NDAQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:29:29 $77.42 -0.13% -0.56% -0.88% -2.28% -1.99% +0.52% +0.10% +0.52% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:13 $77.96 -0.34% -0.29% -0.05% -0.37% -0.68% +0.15% -0.53% -0.45% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:25:28 $83.32 -0.18% -0.74% -0.63% -0.40% -2.00% +0.16% -0.38% -0.38% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:26:01 $74.08 +0.41% +0.35% +0.23% +0.28% +0.08% +0.61% -0.08% +0.20% WIN
2024-10-08 09:25:06 $71.62 +0.59% +0.94% +0.89% +1.13% +0.80% +1.35% +0.04% +0.46% WIN
2024-10-03 09:29:26 $72.98 -0.63% -0.67% -0.59% -0.56% -0.08% +0.15% -0.83% -0.19% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:28:35 $73.2 -0.55% -0.45% -0.66% -0.49% -0.20% +0.27% -1.07% - LOSS
2024-09-06 09:28:24 $73.28 -0.14% +0.11% +0.13% -1.17% -1.81% +0.50% -0.26% -0.01% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:25:16 $67.5 -0.87% -0.60% -0.73% +0.48% +0.80% +0.88% -1.10% -0.70% LOSS
2024-07-29 09:25:10 $66.95 +0.07% +0.85% +0.76% +1.02% +1.45% +2.17% -0.22% - WIN
2024-04-16 09:27:19 $60.08 +0.47% -0.02% +0.43% -0.12% -0.08% +0.70% +0.08% +0.45% WIN
2024-04-01 09:27:10 $63.16 -0.51% -0.34% -0.38% -0.81% -1.38% -0.10% -0.21% -0.30% LOSS
2024-03-20 09:27:27 $59.8 +0.19% +1.61% +2.39% +2.58% +1.81% +2.88% -0.32% +0.22% WIN
2023-07-19 09:25:00 $51.8 -0.50% +0.06% -0.15% -0.80% -2.64% +1.45% -0.66% -0.29% LOSS
2023-06-13 09:29:00 $51.5 +0.07% -0.08% -0.02% -0.41% -0.85% +0.58% -0.45% -0.06% WIN
2023-06-12 09:29:00 $52.2 - -0.50% - -1.25% -2.30% +2.39% -0.36% -0.19% -
2023-03-24 09:25:00 $52.66 -1.06% -0.42% -0.42% -0.57% +0.78% +0.78% -1.25% -1.16% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $52.1 +1.00% +0.59% +1.46% -0.05% -0.25% +1.78% -0.08% +0.69% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $66.99 -0.22% +0.12% +0.07% -0.24% -1.07% +0.29% -1.46% -0.27% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $166.35 -0.24% +0.08% -0.43% +0.24% +0.17% +0.63% -0.64% -0.20% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NDAQ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.8% win rate and -0.04% average gain, NDAQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NDAQ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NDAQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NDAQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NDAQ historically offers an average upside of +0.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NDAQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.8%, NDAQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NDAQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NDAQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.04%). This suggests NDAQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.